Do the Creep! The Rays Sweep the Jays, and Look Forward to Boston

JP Howell with the Rays web-gem of the day. The Rays won by a score of 3-0, on the backs of some very solid pitching.

The Rays entered the Trop with yet another very pivotal game on the line, and walked out with a three game sweep of the Blue Jays, and a 5-2 home stand overall. Tampa Bay will head out on a Sox’s kind of trip on Tuesday. They’ll head to Boston for a pair, then make their way to Chicago for four games.

The big news of their most recent home stand was the offensive explosion, with the Rays scoring 46 runs in five games, making their own case in the wildcard race. And though they didn’t put crooked numbers up on the board today, the Rays played, well…Raysball, supported by quality pitching, some outstanding fielding, and a pair of timely hits to give them the three runs which were enough to send Toronto packing on a sour note.

The Rays find themselves in the throes of a five game winning streak, charging full steam ahead into Boston and Chicago, (respectively) where they have the opportunity to make up some major ground in their push for the playoffs. It’s best to remember that the Rays aren’t built to bash out run after run. The 46 runs scored were a luxury of sorts. However, if they can find that comfortable middle ground between beating up on the opposing pitcher and scoring just three runs, I’m fairly confident that they’ll come home on October first on a high note.

I will say that this winning streak, akin to others they’ve put together, has been great. When the pitching staff didn’t have it, the offense took the reins, outscoring both the Sox and the Jays. And when the pitching was dominant, Tampa Bay did just enough to ensure the win. In the case of the game today, the Rays only needed BJ Upton’s first inning, one run blast, to ensure that W. More on the game below.

Jeremy Hellickson had really good stuff in the front five. Things unfortunately fell apart in the sixth inning. Upon entering the Hellickson had thrown only 65 pitches and looked primed to go deep into the game. But Hellickson proceeded to give up a single and a pair of walks to load the bases, while laboring to make it through the inning without giving up a run. Maddon pulled Helly after throwing 30 pitches, in favor of Jake McGee who promptly struck out Kelly Johnson to end the inning and get out of the jam unscathed. Young Jeremy did leave the game with a good 5.2 IP/2 BB/6 K line, throwing 95 pitches with 60 for strikes.

Jake McGee, Kyle Farnsworth, JP Howell, Joel Peralta, and Fernando Rodney followed Hellickson’s lead, slamming the door shut on the Jays. JP Howell made easily one of the best plays in recent history, (below) thwarting Colby Rasmus’ attempted two out sacrifice hit toward the gap between first and second, just over JP’s shoulder. Howell raced for the ball and was able to field it cleanly. With the momentum carrying him toward right field, Howell left his feet, throwing a mid-flight strike to Carlos Pena to get a speedy Rasmus by a few steps. Rodney came on in the ninth and locked down his 44th save of the year, while also lowering his ERA to 0.65. Soriano, watch your back…Rodney’s about to steal your franchise save record!

Offensively speaking, the Rays did just enough to eek out a W, with BJ Upton’s first inning one run blast ultimately being enough to seal the deal. However Evan Longoria’s eighth inning two-run double to right-center, driving in Desmond Jennings and Ben Zobrist, only sweetened things. Longo came within inches of hitting a three-run homer instead of a double, but I’m certainly not complaining. Next stop: Boston.

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Rays and Red Sox starters over the last 14 days.
Rays and Red Sox offensive production at home and away, (respectively) and over the last 14 days.
  • All eyes on Texas. Though technically an adversary, the Rangers are going to be the Rays biggest ally, at least for seven of their remaining games. Texas is looking to lock up the AL West with a seven game home-stand, pitting them against the Oakland Athletics for four games, followed by a three game set against Los Angeles Angels. Granted Tampa Bay needs to continue winning games, that’s a given. But with the Rays 3.5 back of the A’s and 2.5 behind the Angels, the Rangers could do the Rays a big favor by knocking both teams back a few pegs.
  • The Rays will also be depending on the Blue Jays to play spoiler to the O’s over the course of the next few days. That seems more like a long shot though. Then again, who the hell knows?
  • Yeah well, when you look at the odds, things don’t look so promising. Then again, weirder things have happened. In the words of Joe Maddon, “You’ve got to believe it. If we didn’t learn anything from last year you have to keep playing until you’re mathematically eliminated. In the meantime, believe that you can — and I do.”
  • How do the Rays fare now against the Red Sox starters? Let’s see:
  1. Clay Buccholz: Now I know, I could simply just cut and past last weeks match-up information. And to be fair, not much has changed. Then again, why skimp? I’m lazy…but not that lazy! The Rays have posted a .222 BA/.308 OBP/.348 SLG/.656 OPS line, in 204 official at-bats against. Out of the 46 hits they’ve put up, only four have been homers. Key match-ups: Desmond Jennings (2-7, BB), Matt Joyce (5-15, 2B, 2 RBI, 3 BB), Jose Molina (2B, 3 RBI, BB), Sean Rodriguez (3-10, 2B, RBI), BJ Upton (7-23, 2 2B, HR, RBI, 3 BB)
  2. Jon Lester: Tampa Bay hasn’t faced Lester in a while, though when they have he’s been tough. Then again, at 9-13 with a 4.96 ERA, he really hasn’t had the best season on the mound. The Rays have posted a .225 BA/.309OBP/.403 SLG/.712 OPS line against, in 253 at-bats. Bright sides? They’ve been able to take Lester yard 12 times, with a gaggle of Rays putting up good numbers on the lefty. Key match-ups: Desmond Jennings (3-9, 2 2B, BB), Elliot Johnson (2-7, HR, 2 RBI), Matt Joyce (2-3, HR, 4 RBI, BB), Evan Longoria (9-37, 3 2B, HR, 6 RBI, 5 BB), Jose Molina (5-15, 2 BB), Carlos Pena (11-39, 2B, 6 HR, 14 RBI, 7 BB)
  • Fernando Rodney has nine games to throw 4.1 scoreless innings and beat Eckersley for an MLB history-best 0.60 ERA.
  • As per Rotowire: Buchholz pitched seven scoreless innings Thursday, but did not factor in the decision at Tampa Bay. He gave up four hits with four strikeouts. Lester allowed four runs on eights hits, walking three and striking out three over seven innings of a 4-2 loss to Baltimore on Friday night.
  • The Rays road trip them is “wiggin’ Out.” Ben Zobrist tweeted a photo of his, urm…road attire. We here think that this is pretty awesome:
Ben Zobrist: Rays super utility player, or Motley Crue guitar tech.

Do the Creep, One Step Closer (Rays 9/23/12 Starting Lineup Included)

ST. PETERSBURG – SEPTEMBER 22: Pitcher Fernando Rodney #56 of the Tampa Bay Rays pitches the ninth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays during the game at Tropicana Field on September 22, 2012 in St. Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images)

Tampa Bay ranks near the bottom of the majors with a .241 batting average, but has hit .381 with nine homers while holding a 43-13 scoring advantage during its four-game run. Jennings is 8 for 18 with five RBI during that stretch while Longoria is 6 for 15.

-ESPN.com

43 runs in four days. Let me repeat that; 43 runs in four days. Tampa Bay has certainly adopted an all or nothing attitude since the middle of their previous series against the Red Sox, with the offense taking no prisoners, while they continue to make their case with concerns to the postseason.

Thanks to a Rays and Yankees win yesterday, the good guys are now only 3.5 games back in the wildcard race. With a Rays, Red Sox, and Yankees win today, Tampa Bay will be 2.5 back in the wildcard race, and 5.5 behind the Orioles in the east. And frankly, I don’t care who the Rays overtake in the wildcard race, as long as they overtake someone. What exactly has changed in the last week to again make the Rays relevant? Two words: Offensive production.

Consider that Tampa Bay posted a .222 BA/.304 OBP/.360 SLG/.664 OPS/.264 BABIP/.295 wOBA line in the 14 days previous to this series. Compare that with the .274 BA/.353 OBP/.466 SLG/.819 OPS/.303 BABIP/.355 wOBA line that they’ve put together in the last seven days, and it’s easy to understand why they’re making a solid case. And it bears mentioning that the 43 runs the Rays have scored since Wednesday, are their most ever in a four-game span. Whoa.

I’ll make no allusion to the fact that the Rays will cool down offensively. After all, they’re not a team that consistently averages 10-run per game. However, if they can average at least five runs a game, while the pitchers do what they do best, we’re looking at a team that will continue to make a run for the playoffs. I must also say that looking at the leader-board (below) over the last seven days is pretty darned awesome!

The Rays offensive production over the last seven days. (courtesy of Fan Graphs)

Can they stay consistent? Here’s to hope. The games today, Tuesday, and Wednesday against the Jays and Red Sox are definitely winnable ones. The upcoming four games against a slumping (yet still dangerous) White Sox are the ones that scare me. Tampa Bay is 0-3 against the White Sox so far in the season series, having been outscored 13-6. But as they say in What About Bob? Baby steps, and it all begins today.

Rays 9/23/12 Starting Lineup

Jennings LF
Upton CF
Zobrist SS
Longoria 3B
Scott DH
Keppinger 2B
Joyce RF
Pena 1B
Vogt C
Hellickson RHP

Noteworthiness: Today marks Vogt’s first big-league start behind plate. He holds the team record 0-for-19 streak to start career as a hitter. On one hand, he’s due. On the other hand…

Do the Creep, Rays vs. Jays 9/22/12 (Rays Starting Lineup Included)

Tampa Bay Rays’ Ben Zobrist rounds the bases on his home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday, Sept. 21, 2012, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Mike Carlson)

Well kids, the Rays are now 4.5 back. Things just got real…again. And though the Rays have a lot of heavy lifting to do between now and October third, if they keep playing like they have the last three nights, Tampa Bay might just make things very interesting. Hell, even if the Rays don’t make it, (ahem, cautious optimism) if they keep playing like this, things will at least be fun!

“The Tampa Bay Rays’ offense has awoken over the past three games, but there’s a very real possibility it’s too late to make a difference. With their margin for error dwindling, the Rays look to stay hot at the plate while running their winning streak to four Saturday night as they continue this three-game set with the visiting Toronto Blue Jays,” so says ESPN.

Believe it or not, I actually agree with ESPN on this one. Last season’s Game 162 events, or even what the 2007 Rockies accomplished, are no easy feats. The reason the 2011 Rays were special is because they were able to do something that doesn’t happen all of the time. They were able to turn something wholly unexpected into something magical. We Rays fans have become spoiled after our boys have made it to the postseason three times in four years. And now we’re talking about the Rays nipping at the heals of three teams instead of just one.

Maybe I’m just a realist, knowing full well that the odds of the Rays making it to the postseason (with only 11 games left) are heavily against them. But there is something in me that doesn’t want to wave the white flag…at least just yet. Call it cautious optimism, but I still believe.

DRaysBay put it best, “The Rays will need to play lights out down the stretch and hope that the Orioles stumble. Not to mention the Angels, who are right there in the thick of it. Longo and the boys will need to harness their inner 2007 Rockies, a team that won 14 of their last 15, including a come-from-behind 13-inning victory in the tiebreak game, to come from 6 back in the Wild Card race in September and not only advance to the playoffs but get all the way to the World Series.”

I’ll damned if they’re not trying to creep back into things. The Rays have scored 32 runs in the last three games, outscoring both the Red Sox and the Blue Jays by a score of 32-8. This comes after scoring only 19 on their last road trip, when they should have been putting a good foot forward while staying relevant. If they’re going to keep pace, intent on walking into the Trop within three games of Baltimore when the Orioles come to town on the first, the productive bats of the Rays are going to have to stay hot. Tampa Bay has posted a .268 BA/.358 OBP/.450 SLG/.808 OPS/.313 BABIP/.351 wOBA line over the last seven days, with the bulk of their offensive prowess coming over the course of the last three. To that end, with the exceptions of BJ Upton, Matt Joyce, and Ryan Roberts, the Rays regulars have posted a .250 batting average (or greater) in the last week. Can they keep it up? It fails to be seen just yet. But if they can, and if the youngsters on the pitching staff can tighten up a bit, things are going fun. Isn’t meaningful baseball fun?!

Rays 9/22/12 Starting Lineup

Jennings LF
Upton CF
Longoria 3B
Keppinger 1B
Zobrist SS
Francisco DH
Joyce RF
Roberts 2B
Molina C
Moore LHP

Noteworthiness: Neither the hot bats of Carlos Pena or Luke Scott (I’m dead serious about the hot bats) are in the lineup with Morrow on the mound. Jeff Keppinger and Ben Francisco with take over the first base and DH duties tonight, hitting fourth and sixth respectively. According to a Marc Topkin tweet, Sam Fuld ran today and noted that things felt good. He’ll test his hamstring further on Tuesday, and hopes to play again this season.

…Because A Picture is Worth A Thousand Words
All 16 Rays pitchers with a strikeout this year received ball in case in honor of setting the AL record for the most team strike-outs with 1,267. (Photo courtesy of Joe Smith/Tampa Bay Times)

Rays 9/21/12 Starting Lineup (the Second Verse, Same as the First Edition)

Rays 9/21/12 Starting Lineup:

Jennings LF
Upton CF
Zobrist SS
Longoria 3B
Joyce RF
Keppinger 2B
Scott DH
Pena 1B
Molina C
Shields RHP

Noteworthiness; Maddon’s putting the same players out on the field for the third day in a row. Can they relive the magic of the last two nights? We shall see soon!

That Old Time Rays Religion Is Back? (Rays vs. Jays Series Preview Included)

Click this for walk-off magic!

Stunning. The Rays walked in to the Trop tonight needing to win, well, pretty much every game from here on out. Had they lost, you may as well have called them carrion. After all, they’d have ended the evening 7.5 games out, all but mathematically eliminated from the wildcard race. And with an offense that looked to be dead 8/9 of the game, the following 12 games seemed more like the BJ Upton farewell tour, as opposed to a team hungry to make it to the postseason for the third straight year. However, those resurgent Rays pulled off a huge win over the Massholes, overcoming a three run deficit in the ninth to take down the Red Sox by a score of 7-4.

David Price pitched well enough to earn his 19th win of the year. Price really had only one bad inning, dominating the Red Sox through the front five. Posting a 7.1 IP/8 H/3 ER/1 BB/7 K line, the Cy Young contender threw 119 pitches, (83 for strikes) effectively shutting down anything Valentine could throw his way. Sadly though, the lefty gave up a pair of earned runs in the sixth, and one in the eighth, and with a Rays offense that seemed incapable of putting together anything against Clay Buccholz, all seemed lost. Buccholz went toe-for-toe with Price, posting a 7.o IP/4 H/0 R/2 BB/4 K line, inducing nine weakly hit ground balls, making the Rays hitters look damn well foolish. And truth be told, Tampa Bay looked like the fork had be stuck in them from the get-go.

But then the ninth happened, and that old time Rays religion returned. The Rays looked like, well, the Rays of old.

…And it all started with a Matt Joyce single. The screen shot (below) says it all.

What’s that? You turned the game off in the seventh? Silly choice.

Orestes Destrade summed up the Rays chances of making it to the postseason, “Probable? No. Possible? Yes.” I’d have to say that great English melodic punk band No Choice also put things into perspective with the title of their anthology CD, Try And You Might… Don’t And You Most Certainly Won’t. And that’s where we’re at. Joe Maddon set the bar for what needs to be done: win the next 12 games. Granted there are some very winnable games, especially with the upcoming series against the Blue Jays, it’s not going to be easy. Then again, is anything ever easy with the Rays?

Rays and Blue Jays series starters over the last 14 days.
Rays and Blue Jays offensive production at home and away, (respectively) and over the last 14 days.
  • The Rays are 11-4 against the Blue Jays, and have won the last five meetings at Tropicana Field.
  • Evan Longoria is batting .316 with a homer and nine RBIs in 10 games against Toronto. Ben Zobrist has a .403 on-base percentage with two homers and eight RBIs in 14 games. Zobrist has also been a major thorn in the side of scheduled starter Carlos Villanueva going 4 for 8 with three homers and four walks.
  • James Shields has given the Blue Jays fits, going 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 40-2/3 innings in five starts against the Jays since the start of last season. Yunel Escobar is batting .167 in 18 at-bats off Shields in that span, while Edwin Encarnacion is 1 for 12 and Adam Lind and Kelly Johnson are each 1 for 11.
  • Escobar is eligible to return Friday from a three-game suspension he received for wearing eye-black displaying an anti-gay slur written in Spanish during a game last weekend against Boston. He apologized and said he meant it to be a joke.
  • How are the Rays doing against the Blue Jays starters now? Let’s see.
  1. Carlos Villanueva: The Rays have posted a combined .333 BA/.419 OBP/.549 SLG/.968 OPS line against, in 102 total at-bats. Nine Rays have posted good numbers against Villaneuva: Desmond Jennings (3-10, 2B, 3B), Matt Joyce (4-10, 2B, BB), Jeff Keppinger (7-16, 2B, RBI, 3 BB), Jose Lobaton (1-2), Jose Molina (1-3), Carlos Pena (1-3, RBI, 3 BB), Luke Scott (4-13, 2B, HR, 4 RBI, 2 BB), BJ Upton (3-12, 2B), Ben Zobrist (4-8, 3 HR, 5 RBI, 4 BB)
  2. Brandon Morrow: Not so stoked to see Morrow pitch. The Rays have posted a .215 BA/.327 OBP/.376 SLG/.704 OPS line against Morrow. Key match-ups: Desmond Jennings (5-11, 2B, 3 HR, 3 RBI, 3 BB), Matt Joyce (6-22, 2 2B, HR, 3 RBI, 2 BB), Jeff Keppinger (2-6, 2B), Ryan Roberts (2-3, 2B), Sean Rodriguez (5-14, 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 5 BB)
  3. Chad Jenkins: Tampa Bay has had a level of success off Jenkins. Posting a combined .281 BA/.303 OBP/.438 SLG/.741 OPS line, the Rays have a couple of handfuls of hits off of Jenkins in his young career. Key match-ups: Ben Francisco (1-3, 2B, RBI), Desmond Jennings (1-2), Jeff Keppinger (1-2, RBI), Evan Longoria (2-4, 2B), Carlos Pena (2-3, HR, RBI), Ben Zobrist (1-3)
  • The Jays starters, as per Rotowire.com: Morrow hurled six shutout innings Sunday, yielding but four hits and a walk while tallying three strikeouts, as Toronto collectively blanked Boston, 5-0. Villanueva didn’t factor into the decision Saturday in spite of a fine effort, limiting the Red Sox to two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out six in seven innings.

    [youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sZ-D4jmkUiQ]

    Call it cautious optimism, but I still believe!