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The New What Next: Rays vs. Red Sox — a series preview

August 17, 2018 By Schmitty Leave a Comment

Mallex Smith went 5-14 with four runs and two RBI over the last three days against the Yankees. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)

After beating the Yankees 3-1 on Thursday — and winning the series two games out of three — the Tampa Bay Rays will cap their three-city, nine-game road trip through the AL East in Boston, with a three-game series starting Friday. The Rays have won three consecutive series, going 6-4 in their last 10 games, while the Red Sox are coming off a 7-4 loss against the Phillies, snapping a five-game win streak.

(Stats Credit: ESPN)

Even though the Rays scored just 10 runs in the last three contests, they limited the powerful Yankees to six runs total. And aside from a couple of errant pitches in the series opener, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff did a great job with shutting down that powerful team in the Bronx — limiting them to just two home runs. The Yankees, however, have not been nearly as consistent as the Red Sox, who have gone 17-6 since the All-Star Break. Whatever the case, the same “limit the long ball” approach applies.

(Stats Credit: FanGraphs)

Boston hasn’t lost two consecutive games since July 24-26 and has lost only four series this season … ironically one of those came against the Rays. It will not be easy for the Rays to win multiple games and/or the series this weekend against a team that is in the midst of a historic season. Yet that is what they are faced with. No whammies can be afforded, and no pitching mistakes can be made. Buckle up, this could be a bumpy ride.

Pitching Probables

Kevin Cash has committed to opening the series with Ryne Stanek (0-2, 2.51 ERA), who is likely to be followed by Yonny Chirinos (0-3, 3.50 ERA). Tyler Glasnow (1-2, 3.97 ERA) will get the start Saturday, while Sunday’s starter is TBA. Alex Cora will counter with Brian Johnson (3-1, 3.21 ERA), David Price (12-6, 3.75), and Chris Sale (12-4, 1.97 ERA).

(Stats Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)

Ryne Stanek owns a 3.00 ERA through five appearances (six innings) this month, three of which have been opening stints. While he doesn’t pitch deep enough into games to factor into the decision, Stanek owns a useful 2.45 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 6.2 K/BB across 47-2/3 innings this season. He last pitched Thursday, a 2/3 inning stint against the Yankees, allowing one run on two hits.

Yonny Chirinos threw five innings and earned the win on August 9, allowing just one run on three hits (including a homer) while fanning four in the 5-4 win over Baltimore. Chirinos came in to start the third inning, relieving Rays opener Hunter Wood. The only real damage against him was a Renato Nunez solo home run. Chirinos now owns a 3.50 ERA/3.65 FIP, and a solid 8.35 K/9. He has gone 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA in two starts against Boston this season.

Brian Johnson gave up five earned runs in his previous start, but he won his past two decisions and holds a 3.25 ERA over the team’s last 60 games. Johnson has given up five runs on 11 hits over 4-1/3 innings against Tampa Bay this season (both relief appearances) and is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA in three career appearances against the Rays. Key Matchups: CJ Cron (1-4), Matt Duffy (1-3), Mallex Smith (1-1), Jesus Sucre (1-1, 2B, RBI), Joey Wendle (1-1, 3B, RBI)

Tyler Glasnow allowed one run on two hits while striking out six over five innings on Sunday. Glasnow cruised through the first five frames, although he allowed a run in the sixth inning and exited the game shortly thereafter with the score tied at one. He’s off to a great start with Tampa Bay: he’s surrendered and punched out 20 over 12 innings of work and owns a 3.97 ERA and a  1.32 WHIP with 92 strikeouts through 68 innings this season. Expect Glasnow’s pitch ceiling to increase on Saturday.

David Price blanked the Orioles over six innings on Saturday. He allowed five hits and struck out a season-high 10. It was a dominant performance for the former Ray, who only allowed just two runners to get into scoring position. Price has fired off five consecutive quality starts, posting a 1.64 ERA over that stretch while performing to a 9.0 K/9. The strong run has allowed his ERA drop to 3.75, while his overall K/9 sits at 8.98. Price has been good against his former team this season, going 1-1 with a 2.10 ERA in four starts, although he is 4-4 with a 3.32 ERA in career starts against the Rays. Key Matchups: CJ Cron (6-21, 3 2B, RBI)

I will update this piece when a starter is announced for Sunday’s game.

Chris Sale was impressive in his return to the mound following a brief DL stint, allowing one hit and fanning 12 over five scoreless innings to pick up the win on Sunday against Baltimore. The southpaw extended his scoreless streak to 28 frames. It may appear odd that he was pulled after five innings and 68 pitches, especially after Boston’s bullpen was needed for 15-2/3 innings over the last two days, but manager Alex Cora told reporters in his post-game remarks that Sale was on a 75-pitch ceiling, much like Blake Snell. Expect his pitch ceiling to increase on Sunday. Note above: Sale worked to a -1.65 FIP in his last start; I’ve never seen a negative FIP before. Sale has been especially tough on the Rays this season, going 1-0 with a 0.65 ERA in two starts. in Key Matchups: Willy Adames (1-3, HR, RBI), Kevin Kiermaier (5-17, HR, 3 RBI, BB)

Noteworthiness

— Wonderful things:

Rays 5/23/18 pregame notes; injury and roster updates

May 23, 2018 By belowaverage Leave a Comment

Take two. The Rays will try to snap a two-game losing skid after falling to Chris Sale and the Red Sox, 4-2, last night. (Photo Credit: Anthony Ateek/X-Rays Spex)

After a 4-2 loss, in an injury marred contest against the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday, the Tampa Bay Rays look to bounce back and snap a two-game losing skid on Wednesday night.

On the subject of injuries, the Rays made a pair of roster moves Wednesday, placing Jake Faria on the disabled list with a strained left oblique, and recalling LHP Vidal Nuno to take his place. Faria, like Jake Odorizzi who sustained a similar injury in 2015, could miss six-to-eight weeks based on the severity of the strain.

A corresponding 40-man move will need to be made to add Nuno, who is 3-1 with a 3.57 ERA in seven starts (eight appearances) at Durham. He has walked just three and struck out 37 across 40-1/3 innings. Nuno told Neil Solondz (Rays Radio) he is thankful to be back in the Major Leagues and excited to potentially face the Orioles, who he spent the 2017 season with.

Still the addition of Nuno, over rostered options like RHP Chih-Wei Hu, RHP Hunter Wood and RHP Andrew Kittredge (among others), is a bit surprising. In any case, he was likely chosen for his ability to work across multiple innings.

Nathan Eovaldi is slated to make one last tuneup start for Durham today. It is unclear how his return might impact Nuno’s stay with the team, if at all. It should be noted, Austin Pruitt has options remaining and could be optioned back to Durham instead of exposing Nuno to waivers should his stay be brief.

Tampa Bay will have eight right-handed hitters in the lineup tonight, with Wilson Ramos sitting out after suffering a bruised left hand. Ramos though isn’t expected to go on the DL.

The New What Next

Chris Archer (3-3, 5.01 ERA) will get the start for Tampa Bay, pitching opposite his friend and former teammate David Price (4-4, 4.38 ERA).

Chris Archer notched his third win of the season on Thursday against the Angels, throwing 6-2/3 shutout innings, and allowing just two hits while striking out five, but walking four. After getting tagged for six earned runs in his last start, Archer was able to bounce back with a strong outing — only his third quality start in his last four turns. Overall he still has been erratic, and sports an unsightly 5.01 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP through 59-1/3 innings. They say familiarity breeds contempt, and likewise Boston has owned Archer over his 20 career starts, pegging him with a 2-12 record and a 5.49.

David Price tossed his best outing of the season on Thursday, posting a complete game, two-run five-hit gem, against Baltimore. He struck out eight. The only runs that were charged to his line came on a ninth inning, two-out, two-run homer to Manny Machado, but the blast was not enough to ruin Price’s second consecutive strong effort, completed on an efficient 95 pitches (65 strikes, 68% strike rate). The southpaw recently copped to a bout with carpal tunnel syndrome, which comes as no surprise to anyone that follows Price and knows his proclivity for video games. The former Ray has had a tough time against his previous team, going 4-4 with a 3.47 ERA. Price is 37-30 with a 2.84 ERA in 90 career starts at Tropicana Field. Key Matchups: CJ Cron (5-18, 2 2B), Wilson Ramos (4-11, 2B, HR, 2 RBI, BB)

You can read about the series in our preview.

The New What Next: Rays vs Red Sox — a series preview, part four

Rays 5/23/18 Starting Lineup

Span LF
Cron 1B
Robertson DH
Duffy 3B
Adames SS
Field CF
Refsnyder RF
Arroyo 2B
Sucre C
Archer RHP

Noteworthiness

— Willy Adames, one of the players traded for Price in 2014, will face the southpaw in his second big league game. Adames told Solondz yesterday that he’s excited about the opportunity. The infielder became the fifth player in franchise history to homer in his first Major League game, joining former Ray Brandon Guyer (May 6, 2011, at Baltimore). He also became the first player to ever hit a homer in his first career game at Tropicana Field.

The New What Next: Rays vs Red Sox — a series preview, part four

May 22, 2018 By Schmitty Leave a Comment

In spite of falling 5-2 in the series finale against the Angels, the Rays returned home with a +.500 road record on their most recent trek, and in third place in the AL East. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)

After a successful +.500 road trip that got off to a disastrous 1-3 start, the Tampa Bay Rays return to Tropicana Field on Tuesday, where they will kick off a three game series against the Boston Red Sox. After dropping six out of seven prior to their road trek, the Rays bounced back to win six straight and take sole possession of third place in the AL East, surpassing Toronto. Meanwhile, Boston has vacillated between first and second place in the division all season long, and are currently tied with the Yankees at the top, although New York has a higher winning percentage. The Sox have won two straight and four of five.

(Stats Credit: ESPN)

The Rays started off the season off horribly and looked liked they would be competing with the Orioles for cellar in the division, but they have turned things around. And after starting the season 1-6 against Boston, Tampa Bay took two of three from the Red Sox in their last meeting at Fenway in April — winning the series and outscoring the Massholes 19-13. They did not see Chris Sale in that series, yet the did butt heads with David Price, and beat him once again; the fourth time in 11 tries.

(Stats Credit: FanGraphs)

Pitching Probables

Over the next three days Kevin Cash will lean on Jake Faria (3-2, 5.20 ERA), Chris Archer (3-3, 5.01 ERA), and Blake Snell (5-3, 3.07 ERA). Alex Cora will counter with Chris Sale (4-1, 2.29 ERA), David Price (4-4, 4.38 ERA), and a pitcher to be named before Thursday’s ball game.

(Stats Credit: FanGraphs)

Jake Faria gave up three runs on four hits and four walks while striking out two over 4-1/3 innings on Wednesday against the Royals. He did not factor into the decision. Faria was staked to a four-run lead heading into the bottom of the fifth inning, when the bottom fell out. The right-hander got into an early jam in the inning and already had an elevated pitch count, signaling the end of his start. Control was the culprit, as Faria recorded more walks than strikeouts for the third time this season en route to a pedestrian 1.67 K/BB on the year. Even so, he is 5-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 10 career starts at Tropicana Field.

Chris Sale allowed two runs on two hits and four walks over just five innings to pick up the win Wednesday over Oakland. He struck out nine. Sale was effectively wild, and needed 102 pitches to get through five innings of work, however, he was as nasty as usual. His fastball alone coaxed 10 swinging strikes in 66 offerings, and that’s not to speak of his sweeping slider. Sale was touched up for a two-run homer by Marcus Semien, the sixth he’s allowed in his last six starts. Nevertheless, Sale has been effective despite the home run problem (a 13.6% HR/FB over the last 14-days) — his peripherals are powered by a ridiculous 5.6 K/BB over 41 innings in those six starts. Sale is 8-5 with a 3.10 ERA in 15 starts against the Rays, and 3-3 with a 2.02 ERA in eight starts at the Trop. Key Matchups: Wilson Ramos (4-13, 2B, 2 HR, 5 RBI), Rob Refsnyder (1-3), Denard Span (3-12, 3B, RBI)

Chris Archer notched his third win of the season on Thursday against the Angels, throwing 6-2/3 shutout innings, and allowing just two hits while striking out five, but walking four. After getting tagged for six earned runs in his last start, Archer was able to bounce back with a strong outing — only his third quality start in his last four turns. Overall he still has been erratic, and sports an unsightly 5.01 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP through 59-1/3 innings. They say familiarity breeds contempt, and likewise Boston has owned Archer over his 20 career starts, pegging him with a 2-12 record and a 5.49.

David Price tossed his best outing of the season on Thursday, posting a complete game, two-run five-hit gem, against Baltimore. He struck out eight. The only runs that were charged to his line came on a ninth inning, two-out, two-run homer to Manny Machado, but the blast was not enough to ruin Price’s second consecutive strong effort, completed on an efficient 95 pitches (65 strikes, 68% strike rate). The southpaw recently copped to a bout with carpal tunnel syndrome, which comes as no surprise to anyone that follows Price and knows his proclivity for video games. The former Ray has had a tough time against his previous team, going 4-4 with a 3.47 ERA. Price is 37-30 with a 2.84 ERA in 90 career starts at Tropicana Field. Key Matchups: CJ Cron (5-18, 2 2B), Wilson Ramos (4-11, 2B, HR, 2 RBI, BB)

Blake Snell didn’t put together a perfect inning until the sixth, yet he made big pitches when he needed to, holding the Angels scoreless until the fifth when Andrelton Simmons hit a two-run, two-strike single to center with one out — cutting the lead to four runs. Still, the southpaw stranded leadoff doubles in the second and third innings, and held Los Angeles to 1-9 with runners in scoring position.

After the Simmons single, Snell retired his next seven batters, collecting three punch outs along the way. He scattered four hits and two runs over 6-2/3 innings, walking three and fanning eight. Snell threw 70 of 114 pitches for strikes (61% strike rate).

Red Sox starter to be announced.

Noteworthiness

— OF Carlos Gomez (right groin strain) has progressed to playing catch and will ramp up baseball activities on Tuesday in hopes of returning when eligible on Saturday (or shortly after).

— SS Adeiny Hechavarria (right hamstring) is still in the “getting treatment” stage, according to Rays skipper Kevin Cash.

— RHP Nathan Eovaldi (arthroscopic elbow surgery) will make his fourth, and likely final, rehab start on Wednesday for Triple-A Durham.

— On Tuesday, Tampa native Christian Arroyo is slated to play his first home game for the Rays.

I’m looking forward to it, Arroyo said. It’ll be fun, part of that whole homecoming thing. It’ll be exciting.

Arroyo joined the club last week when shortstop Adeiny Hechavarria was injured and quickly made a good first impression, going 4-10 with a triple, two-runs and an RBI.

LBWMF: Rays fall 1-0 amidst Snell/Price pitching duel

March 31, 2018 By Schmitty Leave a Comment

Blake Snell and Wilson Ramos, working in tandem, both did some nice things Friday night. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)

Blake Snell and David Price locked up for a pitcher’s duel on Friday, yet it was the Rays former ace that came out on top. The Boston Red Sox evened the Opening Series with the Tampa Bay Rays at one, winning 1-0 at Tropicana Field.

Snell allowed three hits and two walks while fanning two in over 5-2/3 innings, on 84 pitches (49 strikes; 59% strike ratio). After the game, Snell said he was “happy with (my) consistency in the zone … happy with my tempo … happy with my defense, I mean they really played great,” while also complimenting Ramos’ work behind the plate.

.@RaysBaseball left-hander Blake Snell talks about his first start of the season Friday night, saying he liked his tempo and gave credit to the defense the team played behind him. #RaysUp #MLB pic.twitter.com/5Na7IcsKns

— FOX Sports Florida (@FOXSportsFL) March 31, 2018

He, however, recognized that he needed to attack the zone more, especially later in the game — against a good contact team like the Red Sox — and that he tried to rack up the strikeouts and be a little too dirty. That, a handful of deep counts, and a pair of walks speak to his marginally high number of pitches thrown (14.8 pitches per inning). Compare that with Price, who got into just two three-ball counts over his seven inning start — all on just 76 pitches (55 strikes, 72% strike ratio).

Both starters cruised through the first five innings, although each team got a runner into scoring position in the fourth. In the top of that frame, the Rays defense really stepped up.

With two outs, Hanley Ramirez singled to left off Snell before J.D. Martinez worked a free pass. Xander Bogaerts then looped a ball to shallow left, but Rob Refsnyder made a sensational diving catch to end the frame.

Ramos also gunned down Christian Vazquez at second as he attempted to move up on a passed ball in the third inning. Over the first two games, his arm strength and accuracy have looked absolutely filthy. I should also acknowledge Adeiny Hechavarria’s tumbling catch in shallow left, which robbed Eduardo Nunez of a bloop single in the same inning.

Nothing drops on Hechy. #uuff 🐾 pic.twitter.com/YJsUS5LcAn

— Tampa Bay Devil Rays (@RaysBaseball) March 30, 2018

Snell, for the most part, cruised through Boston’s lineup until the sixth inning. With one out, the left-hander walked Mookie Betts on five pitches before Andrew Benintendi flew out to deep left for the second out. Yet Ramirez looped a ball to right, and Carlos Gomez appeared to lose the ball in the lights, allowing it to fall in for a single. And with runners on the corners and 84 pitches under Snell’s belt, Kevin Cash called upon Chaz Roe to face Martinez. The $110-million man struck out on a breaking pitch to end the threat.

Roe took the mound again in the seventh, but his night was done after he allowed a leadoff double to left to Bogaerts. With a lefty Rafael Devers stepping into the batter’s box, Cash called upon flame throwing southpaw Jose Alvarado.

Alvarado got ahead of Devers 0-2 before he allowed an RBI ground single to center, making it a one run game. Nunez followed by chopping a ball off the plate, wide of first, and beat it out for an infield hit. Nevertheless, Alvarado got Jackie Bradley Jr. to roll into a 4-6-3 double play, then fanned Vazquez to limit the damage.

On the other side of the plate, the Rays got a chance to plate a run in the bottom of the fourth when Kevin Kiermaier reached on an infield hit; the first hit of the game for Tampa Bay. Then C.J. Cron singled hard to left with two outs, bringing Ramos to the plate. But the catcher flew out to deep right to end the inning.

Matt Andriese kept Tampa Bay within a run by throwing a pair of scoreless innings to finish the game, which also signaled that he would not be starting the bullpen duty game on Saturday.

In the end, one run was enough for Price, who scattered four singles and went on to fan five. After losing the lead on Thursday, Matt Barnes threw a scoreless eighth — although he did allow a walk to Denard Span — while Craig Kimbrel struck out the side to notch his first save of the season.

Remember:

If you don’t expect to much from me, you might not be let down.

The New What Next

The Rays will break in their first bullpen day of the season on Saturday, and Andrew Kittredge will technically get the start. The ‘pen will be opposed by former Cy Young Award winner Rick Porcello.

Kittredge will make the 12th start of his pro career, and the first in the majors. The right-hander pitched 2-2/3 innings in each of his final two spring training outings.

Just like the way he threw the ball in spring training, Cash said when asked why Kittredge. (I) think he can go in there and provide some length for us and get us to where we need to get the bullpen going.

Expect either Ryan Yarbrough or Yonny Chirinos to follow Kittredge on the mound.

Talk about a descent into mediocrity. Pocello went from a 3.15 ERA and 1.01 WHIP Cy Young Award winning 2016 campaign, to a 4.65 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 2017. His home run per nine innings rate ballooned to 1.68, while nearly all his pitches got launched into the outfield stands — including his vaunted sinker. As FanGraphs found, his pair of fastballs that fueled his 2016 success each saw their ISOs balloon, averaging .206 between them and allowing a combined 22 HR. Meanwhile, his changeup – a pitch known as a consistent strike-earning offering early in counts – faced a similar fate, getting slapped with a .276 ISO and 24.0% HR/FB rate. There’s reason to believe his stuff just isn’t all that great. His fastball velocity hovers around 90 mph, and he not only needs to effectively control his pitches, but also mix them well. He also needs to sprinkle in some deception to get through lineups. He may come closer to returning to his 2017 form, however, that amazing season should be viewed as the exception, not the rule. Key Matchups: CJ Cron (2-4, 2B, BB), Matt Duffy (3-10), Carlos Gomez (1-3, HR, RBI), Brad Miller (11-37, 4 2B, 5 HR, 9 RBI, 2 BB), Rob Refsnyder (1-3), Denard Span (13-35, 4 RBI, 2 BB)

You can read about the series in our preview.

Rays 3/31/18 Starting Lineup

Span DH
Kiermaier CF
Gomez RF
Miller 1B
Duffy 3B
Wendle 2B
Hechavarria SS
Smith LF
Sucre C
Kittredge RHP

Noteworthiness

— The Rays will throw a 1998 party on Saturday, with Devil Rays uniforms, a pre-game ceremony, and more. Marc Topkin (Tampa Bay Times) detailed the events, writing:

The Rays are turning back the clock with more than just throwback Devil Rays uniforms today, honoring the inaugural 1998 team on the 20th anniversary of the first game in franchise history.

Eighteen 1998 players (headlined by Hall of Famer Wade Boggs), two  coaches (Orlando Gomez, Greg Riddoch), GM Chuck LaMar and managing general partner Vince Naimoli are all expected at Trop for a series of memory-stirring events, topped by an on-field ceremony before the 6:10 p.m. game vs. Boston.

Wilson Alvarez, who threw the first pitch in franchise history, will have the ceremonial honors tonight, throwing to Mike DiFelice (standing in for starter John Flaherty, who has Yankees TV duties),  with now-retired umpire Richie Garcia agaun behind the plate.

The Rays also will unveil a 20th anniversary exhibit in space near the team store and Ted Williams museum. Several 1998 players will sign autographs there starting around 4:30 p.m. after greet fans in the rotunda area when gates open at 4:10. Fans will received a 1998 replica seat cushion, similar to the purple ones given out at the inaugural game.

Other players scheduled to attend include: Rolando Arrojo, Rich Butler, Miguel Cairo, Rick Gorecki, Roberto Hernandez, Aaron Ledesma, Albie Lopez, Quinton McCracken, Jim Mecir, Bryan Rekar, Tony Saunders, Bobby Smith, Dennis Springer, Randy Winn and Esteban Yan.

LBWMF: Rays open season with a 6-4 comeback victory over Boston

March 30, 2018 By belowaverage Leave a Comment

Opening Day paint behind home plate. (Photo Credit: Bay News 9)

I love the Gin Blossoms, and not in an ironic or guilty pleasure sort of way. As I rode my bike down the Pinellas Trail, and toward Tropicana Field, yesterday afternoon, a Gin Blossoms-like mantra for the Tampa Bay Rays 2018 campaign popped into my head:

If you don’t expect too much from me, you might not be let down.

See, when the expectations are lowered, it’s a little easier to sit back and enjoy the ride. And with that, I entered the Trop for Opening Day 2018.

When you have no real expectation for the season, it’s a little easier to sit back and enjoy the ride … I’d reckon. #RaysOpeningDay #Rays

A post shared by X-Rays Spex (@xraysspex) on Mar 29, 2018 at 12:55pm PDT

I found my seat just as the ceremonial hoopla was settling down. Chris Archer, making his fourth straight Opening Day start, eventually took the mound and delivered a first pitch fastball to Mookie Betts, which was hammered to the triangle in centerfield into Outlaw territory.

Kevin Kiermaier tracked the ball and made a running and leaping catch at the wall.

One pitch and the @KKiermaier39 2018 Gold Glove campaign is underway.#RaysUp pic.twitter.com/4RSlUZrknu

— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) March 29, 2018

The start of Kiermaier’s third Gold Glove campaign is underway!

After 11 more pitches, Archer put Boston to sleep in the top of the first in efficient fashion — notching a swinging strikeout of Hanley Ramirez along the way.

Yet the top of the second inning didn’t start off so hot for Tampa Bay, as the $100-million man, J.D. Martinez, worked a full count walk, Xander Bogaerts lined a double to left-center, and miscommunication between Denard Span and Kevin Kiermaier — resulting in an inside the park home run by Eduardo Nunez — found the Rays in a quick three-run hole.

First homer of 2018, just the way you drew it up. 😉 pic.twitter.com/8QawD06uwe

— Red Sox (@RedSox) March 29, 2018

Then on the other side of the plate, the Rays couldn’t get anything started against Red Sox ace Chris Sale, managing just one hit over the first six innings. Aside from a two-out rally in the bottom of the second, where Denard Span (walk) and Adeiny Hechavarria (single) found themselves in scoring position after a passed ball with Daniel Robertson at the plate, the Rays didn’t mount another threat until the eighth. Robertson struck out looking at a 95 mph fastball to end the second.

If you don’t expect too much from me, you might not be let down.

Yet Archer settled down and cruised through the next four frames, holding the score at 3-0. The right-hander efficiently carved through Boston’s lineup — at one point retiring eight consecutive batters — by forcing contact as opposed to depending solely upon the strikeout. That’s not to say the punch outs didn’t come, because they did — he racked up six on the day.

Archer threw a changeup to set up a slider for the K. I repeat, HE THREW A CHANGEUP. #Rays

— X-Rays Spex (@XRaysSpex) March 29, 2018

Archer even started what appeared to be a trend in the first inning, throwing a changeup which set up a slider for a strikeout. He, however, only threw two more on the day. While a handful of changeups could have effectively setup his slider — as it had in the first — and kept Boston’s hitters off his fastball, the lack of a third pitch set up a third time through the order penalty for Archer.

Kevin Cash decided to send the right-hander out for the seventh, given Archer’s low pitch count (under 80 pitches), but it didn’t take long for the skipper to pull him in Favor of Austin Pruitt. Bogaerts and Rafael Devers tagged the ace for back-to-back doubles, consequently extending Boston’s lead to four.

Yet Pruitt, perhaps surprisingly, shut the door on the Red Sox in relief, coaxing a pair of ground outs sandwiched around an infield pop up. Then in the eighth, Pruitt worked around a Betts single and a Ramirez walk to keep the game within reach. Most notably, Wilson Ramos caught Betts leaning and gunned him down at first.

If you don’t expect too much from me, you might not be let down.

The table was set for a comeback of epic proportions, and the bottom of the eighth was going to be the time to make a move.

Robertson led off the inning with the walk against Joe Kelly. After Rob Refsnyder struck out looking on four pitches, Matt Duffy took a fastball to right field for a double, driving in the first run of the year for the Rays.

Next, with one out and down by three, Kiermaier and Carlos Gomez worked back-to-back free passes, loading the bases and chasing Kelly. Boston’s skipper Alex Cora called upon Carson Smith, who quickly walked Brad Miller — driving home a run putting the Rays down by just a pair.

Unfortunately Ramos did the opposite of what he was acquired to do with the bases loaded, and went down swinging for the second out of the inning. Be that as it may, the strikeout scripted the perfect situation for Span, the hometown kid who enabled the inside the park homer in the second inning.

Span worked the count full before he pulled a fastball down the right field line, pulling into third base and giving the Rays a one-run lead.

What an outSPANing debut. #RaysUp | #OpeningDay pic.twitter.com/XV7Beh9XTk

— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) March 29, 2018

A bouncer over the mound from Hechavarria brought home Span and put the Rays up by two, capping the scoring.

Alex Colome entered the game with a two-run cushion which allowed fans to breathe a little easier given how many times he, uhh … made things a little too interesting last season. Colome worked around a hard-hit, two-out double by Nunez in the ninth to earn his first save of the year.

Just check out that wild ride!


Source: FanGraphs

The New What Next

Blake Snell will toe the rubber for the Rays on Friday, pitching against former ace David Price in a battle of southpaws.

A tale of two halves would be the best way to describe Snell’s 2017 campaign. The left-hander compiled a 4.85 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP in 52 first-half innings, then turned in a 3.49 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in the second half. Mechanical and placement adjustments on the rubber were catalysts that drove the positive results. Snell’s secondary offerings — slider, curveball and changeup — all have great whiff rates, with the first two sitting over 20%. His Fastball strike rate remained the same over both halves, although his BB/9 plummeted from 5.7% to 3.2%, and his whiff rate rose over 3%. If the second half of 2017 is indicitive of anything, Snell is ready to push himself up the ranks of a top-20 starter.

The former Ray was known as one of the best workhorses in the big leagues prior to 2017, notching 200+ innings in six of the past seven seasons (186-2/3 innings in 2013 with Tampa Bay being the sole exception). However, Price started last season with a mysterious arm injury, then was placed on the DL with elbow inflammation leading to the “injury prone” label which found him in the bullpen. Price returned from his malaise pumping 94.9 mph as a reliever and looking very much like the ace of old. If Price can become more consistent with his sinker, while also maintaining his fastball velocity, there is a solid chance he can return to the upper levels of the starting pitcher landscape. Key Matchups: Adeiny Hechavarria (2-7), Kevin Kiermaier (2-8, 2B, HR, RBI), Wilson Ramos (1-3) 

You can read more about the series in our preview.

Rays 3/30/18 Starting Lineup

Duffy 3B
Kiermaier CF
Gomez RF
Cron DH
Ramos C
Miller 1B
Hechavarria SS
Robertson 2B
Refsnyder LF
Snell LHP

Noteworthiness

— Per Neil Solondz (Rays Radio), yesterday’s come from behind victory was big for a couple of reasons:

1. The comeback from 4–0 down matched the franchise’s largest comeback win ever on Opening Day. The other one also happened against the Red Sox in 2003.

2. Tampa Bay won just five times last year when trailing after seven innings, and the six-run inning at home was the team’s largest at Tropicana Field since the season finale in 2015.

— Ouch! Former face of the franchise, Evan Longoria, went 0-4 with three strikeouts in his regular season debut with San Francisco. Meanwhile Logan Morrison went 0-3 with a strikeout and a walk. On the pitching side of things, Jake Odorizzi threw six shutout innings of two-hit ball, while walking two and fanning seven.

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