Looking Backward While Moving Forward: Rays Drop Back to One Game Over .500 After 9-4 Loss

Rays pitching coach Jim Hickey meets with pitcher Roberto Hernandez during the second inning. Hernandz was pulled after only four innings, having given up five runs on six hits and three walks. (Chris Zuppa/Times)
Rays pitching coach Jim Hickey meets with pitcher Roberto Hernandez during the second inning. Hernandz was pulled after only four innings, having given up five runs on six hits and three walks. (Chris Zuppa/Times)

The New York Yankees routed the Tampa Bay Rays Friday night, handing them their second consecutive loss, while leaving them just one game over .500. Simply put, Roberto Hernandez was horrible — Cesar Ramos wasn’t much better — while David Phelps choked the Rays offense, leaving a 9-4 loss in the wake. Ladies and gentlemen, it’s time for another edition of The Good, The Bad, and The Argyle: A Game Summary.

The Good

  • Kelly Johnson continues to be productive. Though Tampa Bay was rendered hitless into the fifth inning, Kelly Johnson continued to show his worth at the plate, going 2-for-4 (a triple and a single) with a run. Johnson’s triple came on a one out, 2-2 Phelps pitch, mashing it to deep center. KelJo was subsequently driven home on a Sam Fuld sac-fly to right in the next at-bat.
  • James Loney hit his 13th double of the season.
  • Credit where it’s due — Kyle Farnsworth lowered his ERA to 7.71 after putting together an impressive 11 pitch (7 for strikes) 1-2-3 ninth inning.

The Bad

  • Roberto Hernandez was horrible. Hernandez couldn’t make it past the fourth inning for the second straight start. This time he posted a 4.0 IP/6 H/5 R/5 ER/3 BB/3 K/1 HR slash line on 84 pitches (46 for strikes). The same culprit bit Hernandez in the butt Friday night: poorly located pitches left in highly hittable locations (see the outcome pitch f/x chart below). Per Marc Topkin, “(Hernandez’s) 5.73 ERA that is seventh-worst among American League starters. He has allowed at least five runs in five of his starts and multi-run innings in six. And he has given up 10 home runs in his 482/3 innings, more than twice his career rate.” Furthermore, Roberto has accrued 12 innings of work over his last three starts, relenting — on average — one run per inning. Thankfully, he had run enough run support in each of his last two starts, so the poor pitching hardly effected the ultimate outcome. However, Tampa Bay seems to be coming back down to Earth — offensively speaking — and poor pitching isn’t going to cut it. Personally, I feel that the Rays should pull the plug on the Hernandez experiment. Frankly, he’s better suited for the pen (editors note: the cut and run method is preferable). I realize that Chris Archer needs more time in Triple-A, as the Rays attempt to build up his arm strength. That said, I can’t help but feel that Jake Odorizzi’s start Monday should be viewed as a tryout of sorts. If anything, Odorizzi seems to be a reasonable fill-in, at least until Archer is ready to be recalled. Alex Torres also showed that he is up to the task after posting 4-1/3 innings of no hit, two walk, baseball in relief of Hernandez last week. We’re now just past the quarter mark of the season, and Hernandez represents the weakest link in the starting rotation. Cut and run, Joe… cut and run.
Roberto Hernandez at-bat outcome chart (Courtesy of Brooks Baseball)
Roberto Hernandez at-bat outcome chart (Courtesy of Brooks Baseball)
  • Cesar Ramos really wasn’t much better than Hernandez. Ramos posted an ugly 1.0 IP/3 H/3 R/3 ER/1 BB/1 K/2 HBP slash line on 31 pitches (20 for strikes), effectively making any Rays rally out of reach. Ramos most notably sent Curtis Granderson back to the DL after hitting him with a pitch, subsequently fracturing a knuckle in his left pinkie.

The Argyle

  • After destroying the ball throughout the month of May — posting a combined .281 BA/.353 OBP/.455 SLG/.808 OPS/.351 wOBA with 121 runs and 116 RBI — the Rays seem to be coming back down to Earth offensively. Tampa Bay has posted a combined .240 BA/.299 OBP/.431 SLG/.720 OPS/.314 wOBA over the last seven days. Suffice to say, the cool down was expected. It’s now absolutely incumbant on the pitching staff to become dominant once more. It goes without saying: scoring four runs while relinquishing nine won’t win games.

The New What Next

Expect a fun pitching match-up Saturday, as Matt Moore takes on Vidal Nuño and the Yankees, in a 4:10 game at the Trop. You can read more on the pitching match-up here.

Rays 5/25/13 Starting Lineup

Jennings CF
Roberts 2B
Scott DH
Longoria 3B
Zobrist RF
Loney 1B
Rodriguez LF
Molina C
Escobar SS
Moore LHP

Rays 5/24/13 Starting Lineup, Etc

Rays 5/24/13 Starting Lineup

Joyce RF
Zobrist 2B
Scott DH
Longoria 3B
Loney 1B
Johnson LF
Fuld CF
Lobaton C
Escobar SS
Hernandez RHP

Noteworthiness

  • Sam Fuld will get the start in center tonight, hitting seventh. Per Roger Mooney of the Tribunes, “Jennings said he’s fine. Just a day off.”
  • In an interview with MLB Radio, Rays skipper Joe Maddon mentioned that Fernando Rodney is throwing the ball well, though he’s missing his location and has lost some confidence. He went on to say that Rodney is physically fine, though his movement and location are not as good. 
  • You can read more on tonight’s pitching match-up here.

The New What Next: Enter the Evil Empire

Zorilla! (Courtesy of the Tampa Bay Rays)
Zorilla! (Courtesy of the Tampa Bay Rays)

After going 4-2 record on their most recent road trip, the Tampa Bay Rays are back home and preparing for a five game home stand which begins Friday. At just four games back of first, the Rays look to make up some ground in the AL East against the 28-18 division leading New York Yankees, in a three game weekend set.

The Evil Empire — like the Rays — are coming off a disappointing series loss to an AL East foe, while having won six of their last 10 games. Tampa Bay has an excellent chance to take at least a pair of games from the Yankees…that is, assuming the offense can keep on the up-and-up, and the pitching can stabilize.

Rays and Yankees series starters.
Rays and Yankees series starters.
Rays and Yankees offensive production at home, away, and over the last 14 days
Rays and Yankees offensive production at home, away, and over the last 14 days
Rays and Yankees by the numbers
Rays and Yankees by the numbers

Rays Hitters Vs. the Yankees Series Starters

David Phelps: Per Rotowire, “Phelps pitched Game 1 of Monday’s doubleheader against Cleveland and suffered a loss, as he pitched 6.2 innings and allowed one run, four hits and five walks to go along with seven strikeouts. Phelps has made two straight starts in which he’s allowed just one run over at least 6 2/3 innings. Against Tampa Bay, he has put together 10-1/3 innings of one run baseball while striking out 13 batters. The current Rays hitters have posted a combined a .156 BA/.250 OBP/.291 OBP/.469 OPS in 32 at-bats; that’s not the biggest sample size, but those certainly aren’t necessarily the best numbers either. Key match-ups: Matt Joyce (1-2), James Loney (1-4), Sean Rodrigiez (1-4).

CC Sabathia: Per Rotowire, “Sabathia will have his next start pushed back a day to Sunday, the Lower Hudson Journal News reports.” I really love watching the Rays face the swarthy LHP. They’ve been able to beat him seven times in the last three years, including back in April when they tagged Sabathia for five runs on seven hits. A good number of hitters — up and down the lineup — have had a great amount of success against CC, and Saturday’s match-up against Cobb promises to be a fun one. Key match-ups: Yunel Escobar (7-25, 2 2B, 2 HR, 8 RBI, 2 BB), Sam Fuld (2-5, 3B, RBI), Kelly Johnson (5-15), Jose Lobaton (2-5, RBI, BB), Evan Longoria (15-41, 3 2B, 5 HR, 9 RBI, 11 BB), Ryan Roberts (3-7, 2 RBI, 2 RBI), Sean Rodriguez (10-31, 2 2B, 3B, HR, 4 RBI, 3 BB).

Phil Hughes: Per Rotowire, “Hughes gave up two earned runs on five hits and two walks in six innings Tuesday, while striking out five Orioles.” Tampa Bay has posted a combined .274 BA/.350 OBP/.435 SLG/.785 OPS slash line against the 26-year old righty. Key match-ups: Yunel Escobar (7-19, 2 2B, RBI, BB), Matt Joyce (5-13, 2B, 3B, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 4 BB), James Loney (3-6), Ryan Roberts (1-3, 2B), Luke Scott (8-16, 3 2B, RBI, 2 BB).

Noteworthiness

  • Alex Cobb swapped spots in the Rays’ rotation with Jake Odorizzi. Cobb will now start the final game of the Yankees series on Sunday, while Odorizzi will get the start against the Marlins on Monday.
  • Too many two out runs! Tampa Bay has given up 15 two-out runs over the course of the last six games; a hypothetical average of 2.5 two out runs per game. That friends, is not good.
  • On May 22, 2012 the Rays and Yankees roles were reversed: The Rays had a 26-18 record and a 3 1/2-game lead over the Yankees for second place in the American League East. The Yankees however took the division title. I like role reversals.
  • Derek Jeter, Mark Teixeira, Alex Rodriguez, Kevin Youkilis and Francisco Cervelli are all still on the disabled list.
  • Evan Longoria is one of only 12 AL players going back to 1916 to reach in 45 (or 46) of the first 46 games.
  • Speaking of Evan, Longo is batting .397 during a career-high 16-game hitting streak that is three shy of Jason Bartlett’s club-record run in 2009. He has hit .386 with 19 RBIs and 23 runs scored in that span.
  • Curtis Granderson is 3-for-3 with a homer since returning from the disabled list. However,he  is a career .197 hitter at Tropicana Field.

Looking Backward While Moving Forward: Rodney Blows Another Save, Blue Jays Top the Rays

Jeremy Hellickson delivers a pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays. (Photo by Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images)
Jeremy Hellickson delivers a pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays. (Photo by Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images)

Put a fork in it, the Rays drop the series to the Blue Jays following a 4-3 loss to Toronto, Wednesday. The redundant culprits struck again; Fernando Rodney blew the save in the ninth, giving up the game tying home run to Jose Bautista, while Kyle Farnsworth — charged with getting the final out of the tenth — gave up an RBI base hit to (you guessed it) Jose Bautista, plating Colby Rasmus.

Don’t get me wrong, I get the concept of team sports. I get that it was the Rays — as a team — that lost, not just Rodney or Farnsworth. To that end, the offense should have scored more than three runs. They’re ultimately just as much to blame as Rodney or Farnsworth.

However if I were Jeremy Hellickson, I’d have to be miffed at all the players that allowed an excellent eight inning performance go by the wayside in some way, shape, or form. I’m fully aware that Jeremy Hellickson wouldn’t publicly implicate anyone for the loss, though privately I’d imagine that he’s none to thrilled — and rightly so — to be sitting on a 2-2 record after a game that was winnable.

Here are some bulleted points to ponder following Wednesday’s loss:

  • On the plus side, Evan Longoria was able to extend his hitting streak to 16 consecutive games after hitting a ninth inning double. James Loney plated Longo on a single to center, giving the Rays a fleeting 3-2 lead.
  • Kyle Farnsworth has now given up four runs in his last 2-1/3 innings of work. He has also given up six hits — including two homers (accruing a 6.75 HR/9) — and a walk in that span. The once mighty Farnsworth has struck out a measly five batters in 11-2/3 total innings, while relinquishing 10 runs. Yeah, umm…I’d imagine that his “effective” years may be behind him.
  • Fernando Rodney has now blown four saves. As with Farnsworth, Fernando has given up four runs over his last three outings (3-1/3 innings overall), while giving up two hits and walking five. Granted Rodney’s strikeout percentage is up over last season (29.8% vs 27%), so are his walks (19.1% vs 5.3%).
  • Can anyone tell me why any of the Rays pitchers threw anything in the zone to the one man wrecking crew, that was Jose Bautista? Simply put, Joey Bats was the Jays offense, plating four runs while crossing the plate twice.
  • CB Bucknor had one of the most lopsidedly inconsistent strike zones I’ve ever seen. To say that he was incredibly stingy with Hellickson, while being incredibly liberal with Buehrle, would be the understatement of the year. Take a gander:
Courtesy of Brooks Baseball, by way of DRaysBay
Courtesy of Brooks Baseball, by way of DRaysBay
Courtesy of Brooks Baseball, by way of DRaysBay
Courtesy of Brooks Baseball, by way of DRaysBay

Tampa Bay is again a mere two games over five hundred, as they prepare to take on the Yankees in a three game series at the Trop, starting Friday. Be on the lookout for our series preview Thursday.

 

 

 

Looking Backward While Moving Forward: Rays Almost Let Another Get Away, Beat the Jays 4-3

Kelly Johnson runs the bases after a home run against the Toronto Blue Jays. (Photo by Abelimages/Getty Images)
Kelly Johnson runs the bases after a home run against the Toronto Blue Jays. (Photo by Abelimages/Getty Images)

A wise man once said, “A win is a win is a win.” And though Joel Peralta and Fernando Rodney made Tuesday night’s 4-3 victory against the Blue Jays interesting, the Rays won and that’s all that really matters. Tampa Bay will walk into the rubber-match against Toronto three games over .500 once more, and 4-1 on their current road trip. You guessed it, it’s time for another episode of The Good, The Bad, and the Argyle: A Game Summary.

The Good

  • Alex Cobb puts together another solid performance. Cobb looked outstanding Tuesday night, posting a 6.1 IP/3 H/1 R/1 ER/2 BB/2 K/1 HR slash line on 107 pitches (70 for strikes). Cobb was a ground ball generating machine, inducing 13 grounders-for-outs in his 6-1/3 inning outing. His middle inning collapse a couple of weeks back is now all but a faint memory, as Cobb proved once more that he is able to make adjustments on the fly. This time around, Alex led with his two-seam fastball and his changeup, throwing both for strikes 64% and 79% (respectively) of the time. With the exception of three mistakes left up in the zone and a pair of walks, Cobb was flawless.
  • Defense, defense, defense. In the spirit of full disclosure, I’m not referring to either Evan Longoria’s throwing error or Ryan Roberts’ fielding error. I am, however, referring to a pair of outfield gems and pair of excellent plays by Yunel Escobar. Edwin Encarnacion tried to leg out a double in the bottom of the first inning, but was gunned down by Kelly Johnson who fired a bullet to Ben Zobrist. Zo promptly put down the tag, and cough… the umpires got the call right this time around! Meanwhile Desmond Jennings tracked down a well struck Adam Lind fly-ball to center, getting the first out of the second inning. Escobar made a diving stop on a ball that easily could have gone for a base hit, while also helping to turn an outstanding double play to get the Rays out of an eighth inning jam — throwing a bullet to James Loney while flying through the air.
  • Kelly Johnson now leads the AL in outfield assists with five.
  • It should be noted that both Kelly Johnson and Desmond Jennings followed their excellent plays in the field with home runs in the innings that proceded. Kelly Johnson sent a one-run blast deep to center-field in the second inning, giving Tampa Bay a 2-0 lead. Desmond Jennings went yard to lead-off the third inning, sending a blast to left-field while extending the Rays lead to 3-0.
  • Evan Longoria extends the streak. Longo went 2-4 with a pair of runs Tuesday night. He extended his hitting streak to 15 consecutive games in the second inning, on a double to left-field.
  • Jake McGee continues to improve. McGee looked great, stringing together a 2/3 of an inning outing, striking out DeRosa in relief of Alex Cobb.

The Bad

  • The Rays were only able to put four runs on the board, even though other scoring opportunities presented themselves. Tampa Bay went 1-6 wRISP while grounding into four double plays. The bulk of their scoring came in the second and third innings, with the Rays offense being held in check — thanks in part to the aforementioned double plays — from the fourth inning on.
  • What in the hell was that, Joel Peralta and Fernando Rodney?! The dynamic duo certainly made things interesting, combining for two innings of three hit, two walk, two run ball. Charged with a run, Peralta walked the front two hitters of the eighth inning before giving up a single to Jose Bautista which scored Kawasaki. After loading the bases, Rodney was called on in relief of Peralta. Charged with the task of getting the final two outs of the eighth, Rodney induced a double play on one pitch. But Rodney would also make every collective Rays fan sweat bullets in the ninth inning after giving up a double to Colby Rasmus — who eventually scored on a wild pitch — while walking Kawasaki before striking out Melky Cabrera looking.

The Argyle

  • How about that sellout crowd at the Rogers Center Tuesday night?! Man, a whopping 15,802 fans crammed into the Rogers Center, leaving only a few standing room seats in the wake. Could someone please tell me why there’s no consternation surrounding the Blue Jays obvious attendance woes? Where are the dip-shits at ESPN when you need them?!
  • Matt Joyce was removed from the game with left hamstring tightness. Per a tweet from Marc Topkin, “Maddon said Joyce, who left with right hamstring tightness, should be fine. Wouldn’t have started Wednesday vs. Buehrle anyway.

The New What Next

The Rays will attempt to take their second straight series Wednesday night with Jeremy Hellickson on the mound. Hellboy will butt heads with Mark Buehrle who the Rays beat up on in their first series meeting with the Jays. You can read more on the pitching match-up here.

Rays 5/22/13 Starting Lineup

Jennings CF
Roberts 3B
Zobrist 2B
Longoria DH
Loney 1B
Rodriguez RF
Johnson LF
Molina C
Escobar SS
Hellickson RHP

Noteworthiness

  • Jose Molina is back in the thick of things, after sitting out the last few games because of hamstring tightness. Evan Longoria will be handling the DH duties — as expected — hitting fourth, while Ryan Roberts takes over third-base hitting second.
  • We will be taking orders shortly, for a small press of X-Rays Spex designed shirts (see the design below). Until then, we’re trying to get a feel for how many shirts to print. Odds are good that we’ll sell them for cost; figure $5.00 or $6.00 — depending on printing costs. Please let us know whether you’d be interested in a shirt — and what size — so we can get the ball rolling. You can leave a comment below, or contact us directly at: belowaverageraysfansite@gmail.com We’ll be creating a PayPal link in the next few days/weeks, and taking orders some time thereafter.

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