Looking Backward While Moving Forward: Rays Fall Behind Boston After Second Consecutive Loss

The Rays’ Wil Myers heads to the clubhouse after making the final out as Red Sox closer Koji Uehara and first baseman Mike Napoli leap celebrate over the Game 2 victory. (Photo courtesy of James Borchuck/Times)
The Rays’ Wil Myers heads to the clubhouse after making the final out as Red Sox closer Koji Uehara and first baseman Mike Napoli leap celebrate over the Game 2 victory. (Photo courtesy of James Borchuck/Times)

I wrote, in our series preview, there were five things the Rays needed to in order to be successful in the postseason against the Red Sox:

  1. Negate the Red Sox running game.
  2. Get runners on for Longo.
  3. Get strong performances from the starters.
  4. Swarm the starters early on.
  5. Take a game at Fenway.

If game two of the ALDS proved anything, it’s that the Rays were unsuccessful in executing the aforementioned strategies against John Lackey and the Red Sox. Tampa Bay fell to Boston for the second consecutive day, this time by a score of 7-4, in what could have been David Price’s last start as a Ray.

Contrary to what his final line may suggest, Price didn’t pitch terribly. However, he wasn’t great either. Price gave up his fair share of broken bat bloopers, while the Red Sox hitters took advantage of Fenway’s quirks, playing wall ball with the Monster to put runners in scoring position. It didn’t help that the Rays fielders made a handful of defensive gaffes that Boston took advantage of. An errant throw by catcher Jose Molina in an attempt to gun down Jacoby Ellsbury in the first inning led to the Red Sox’s first run. Ben Zobrist, uncharacteristically, failed to turn a pair of double plays that led to runs — once when Shane Victorino slid in hard to take him out, the second when he got a late feed from third baseman Evan Longoria and never got a grip on the ball, launching a throw that actually hit the Red Sox dugout wall. The error proved costly after Stephen Drew plated a run on a 310 foot fly ball off the monstrosity in left-field that would be an easy out in any other ballpark.

In kind with the strategy he employed against the Rangers Monday, Price pounded lefties inside with fastballs and stayed away from righties. Simply put, the Red Sox happen to have better hitters than the Rangers and were able to time his fastballs pretty well. Price, at times, made his best Jeremy Hellickson impersonation, having to pitch over the plate after falling behind in the count. And much like Helly, Price payed for his mistakes. Price’s night was over after seven innings following David Ortiz’s second homer of the game. If there’s one saving grace it’s that he saved the bullpen by pitching seven innings. Jake McGee finished out the game.

Tampa Bay had plenty of chances to get back into the game but, the offense but couldn’t get the big hit they needed it the most. They hit into three double plays, including a pair of inning ending double plays in the seventh and eighth with the tying run at the plate. The Rays went 2-8 wRISP overall, while Zobrist and Wil Myers had the worst nights at the plate, going a combined 1-8 with eight men left on base.

The Rays find themselves on the brink of elimination for the fourth time in a week. Alex Cobb holds the Rays’ season in his hands, when the good guys come home Monday to take on Boston in front of a sold out Tropicana Field. His offspeed repertoire will hopefully be what the Rays need to calm the Sox’s bats. Cobb will face a very tough Clay Buchholz, and you can read about the pitching match-up here.

Rays 10/7/13 Starting Lineup

Rays 10/7/13 Starting Lineup. (Photo courtesy of Joe Maddon)
Rays 10/7/13 Starting Lineup. (Photo courtesy of Joe Maddon)

Noteworthiness

  • Matt Joyce gets the start at DH vs Buchholz, hitting seventh.
  • Marc Topkin writes, “Rays ace David Price did not take kindly to criticism from TBS analysts Dirk Hayhurst and Tom Verducci. Hayhurst is a former pitcher who spent most of his career in the minors, Verducci a long-time and respected journalist. Here is the tweet Price posted at 1:07 a.m., when the Rays were on their way back from Boston,”

Dirk Hayhurst…COULDNT hack it…Tom Verducci wasn’t even a water boy in high school…but yet they can still bash a player…SAVE IT NERDS

  • Per Roger Mooney of the Trib, “In the history of the American League Division Series (1995-2012), not including this season, 22 teams have fallen behind 2-0. Four of those clubs came back to win the best-of-five series — the 2003 Red Sox (against the Athletics), 2001 Yankees (Athletics), 1999 Red Sox (Indians) and 1995 Mariners (Yankees).” He goes on to write, “Dating to the 1916 World Series, this is the ninth time the Red Sox have taken a 2-0 lead in a postseason series. Five of them were sweeps. The only time Boston didn’t emerge was the 1986 World Series, when the New York Mets won in seven games. Overall in postseason history, teams that have taken a 2-0 series lead won 121 out of 143 times. That includes a 59-8 record in best-of-five series.” It won’t be easy, but a win is certainly not out of the realm of possibility.
  • Last time Julianna Zobrist sang anthem before a Rays game Ben won it with a walkoff homer – September 7, 2012 vs Texas
  • As a friend noted, Rays should be able to win tonight based on these selected statistics. Selected being the operative word, but still…

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Looking Backward While Moving Forward: The Boston Beatdown

Sunny skies and a rainbow, everything came up Boston Friday. (Photo courtesy of the Tampa Bay Rays)
Sunny skies and a rainbow, everything came up Boston Friday. (Photo courtesy of the Tampa Bay Rays)

That was not pretty — not in the least. Boston royally handed it to Tampa Bay Friday afternoon, dishing out a 12-2 shellacking in front of 38,000 fans, at Fenway. Matt Moore wasn’t sharp after three innings of no hit ball, Wil Myers couldn’t field an easy fly ball at the warning track, and the typically dependable fielders allowed the misplays, on a good number of hits, to snowball, ultimately gift wrapping the win for the Red Sox. In all honesty, the Rays probably would have lost regardless — with the exceptions of a handful of mistakes, Lester was on point and they couldn’t put anything together offensively. However, the odds are also good that Tampa Bay wouldn’t have lost as badly, hadn’t they allowed the momentum to shift as it had.

After the game, Mike Napoli said they got lot of momentum from the ball that got past Myers, going on to say, “That was definitely a big play in today’s game.” Fret not Tampa Bay, the Rays are adept at taking things one game at at time — they bounced back 11 times from losses of four or more runs this season. That is to say, the concern over yesterday’s loss is warranted, however it’s not the end of the world. I live blogged the game, and you can check out our blow-by-blow account of the game via our Tumblr site. Otherwise, a handful of game peripherals are below.

  • Things were going swell for the Rays until the fourth inning, when Matt Moore — aided by a listless defense — allowed Boston to not only chip away at the lead, but to take a three run advantage over the good guys. Boston did so on six hits, including three doubles, and a strike-three passed ball which allowed Jacoby Ellsbury to take first. The most bizarre play of the day (and inning) came on David Ortiz’s ground-rule double to right-field. Myers called for the ball, but moved out from underneath it, allowing the ball to bounce behind him and next to Desmond Jennings before it bounced out of play (see the GIF below). Many have asserted that perhaps he heard “I GOT IT I GOT IT I GOT IT” from someone other than Desmond Jennings. Whatever the case, heckling, by means of the fans, or even the opposition, is all part of the game. That is, Myers needs to be able to differentiate between his teammates voices, and the voices of others. This misplay never should have happened, period. It was a dumb mistake, similar to those he’s made on a few other occasions this season. Another costly fielding misplay came later in the inning, Stephen Drew reached in an infield single with Moore covering first. Moore was slow to cover and tag the bag and allowed Gomes to score from second while looking back at the umpire.
Whoops. (GIF cour
Whoops. (GIF courtesy of SB Nation)
  • Moore came back out in the fifth inning and gave up a one out double to Mike Napoli. Napoli had to slide to get into second and appeared to be out on a throw from Rodriguez on replays. If the blurry shot below shows anything, it’s that the umps made a bad call. However, the “safe” call can be attributed to the placement of Zobrist when laying down the tag.
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Mike Napoli really looks “safe” to me.
  • The only consolation to yesterday’s game: Chris Archer and Alex Torres looked good out of the ‘pen, combing for 2-1/3 innings of one hit, four strikeout ball. They did something that hadn’t been done after the third inning, and that’s retire seven consecutive batters.
  • After 18 postseason-less seasons in the league, Jamey Wright appeared in his first playoff game and looked about as sharp as a butter-knife. Wright gave up four hits, a stolen base, and a walk, allowing the Red Sox to nail the Rays coffin shut. Oof.
  • Boston made some interesting choices on the base paths in the eighth inning, with John Farrell calling for a steal and a hit and run with a six run lead. It will be interesting to see how the Rays handle themselves today. As Dave and Andy (on the radio side) eluded to, play like that is what leads to people getting hit by pitches.

The New What Next

David Price looks to build on his outstanding complete game outing Monday against the cro-magnon mouth breather, that is John Lackey. Lackey has averaged five innings in two starts against the Rays this season, relinquishing nine earned runs overall. You can read about the pitching match-up here.

Rays 10/5/13 Starting Lineup

DeJesus LF
Myers RF
Loney 1B
Longoria 3B
Zobrist 2B
Jennings CF
Young DH
Escobar SS
Molina C

Noteworthiness

  • Matchup city, USA. John Lackey’s best pitch is his slider. Matt Joyce faced 196 sliders from RHP in 2013, and put 12% in play. Delmon Young saw 243 RHP sliders, and put 25% in play. Do the math.
  • Ian Malinowski at DRaysBay posted this in today’s edition of The Rays Tank, and I felt that anything that I wrote might not do it justice. From his lips (finger tips) to your ears (eye balls): “Wendy Thurm, a former lawyer, discusses the hearing that recently took place in the San Jose vs. MLB lawsuit. It’s a case that could have an impact on any team’s ability to move cities, and is therefore required reading for anyone wishing to have an educated discussion on the ramifications of Rays’s attendance problems.”

The New What Next: Rays vs. Red Sox, An ALDS Series Preview

Evan Longoria joins the celebration around Fernando Rodney after beating the Cleveland Indians. (Photo courtesy of Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)
Evan Longoria joins the celebration around Fernando Rodney after beating the Cleveland Indians.
(Photo courtesy of Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

Its been written, that no team is more battle tested on the road than the Tampa Bay Rays. And on the heels of a 4-0 victory over the Cleveland Indians in the AL Wild Card Play-In Game Wednesday, the Rays will partake in two more road games against the Red Sox before they come home to the Trop Monday.

Tampa Bay faced three consecutive road elimination games to close out the regular season, now they’ll take on their AL East rivals, the Boston Red Sox, in a best of five series that will begin at Fenway. Boston got the best of Tampa Bay during the regular season, winning 12-of-19, but the playoffs are a new opportunity — a clean slate of sorts.

What will it take for the Rays to be successful over the course of the next few days? Let’s take a look.

1. The Rays will have to negate the Red Sox running game by not allowing base runners. Suffice it to say, Boston is an incredibly patient team that will take advantage of pitchers’ mistakes early and often. The peripherals: They led the majors in OBP (.349) and OPS (.795), while drawing the second-most walks all season (581). We all know how dangerous Jacoby Ellsbury can be — he has an 87% success rate swiping bases. The Rays pitchers must throw strikes and get ahead of batters, ultimately keeping the Red Sox hitters off balance and behind in counts.

2. Get runners on for Longo. Over his last seven games of the regular season (including the one-game playoff against the Rangers) Evan Longoria has hit .414 (12-for-29) with five extra-base hits (three home runs) and 11 RBI. David DeJesus and Wil Myers struggled in the one and two-holes (2-for-14) against the Rangers and Indians, and the Rays need to have some production in the middle of the lineup.

3. Tampa Bay needs to get strong performances from its starters.

4. Swarm the starters early on. The Rays are at their best when they score early. Rattling the starters and outscoring the Red Sox is an important avenue for the Rays advancing this postseason. If the Rays can put up runs early and get inside the head of Lester, Lackey, Buchholz, or Peavy, their demons can derail the Sox staff.

5. Take a game at Fenway. Ben Stepansky of Bleacher Report put it best, “Losing a playoff game at home is demoralizing to both the team and its fanbase. If the Rays can take one (or both) games at Fenway, they’ll return to the Trop at least tied in the series.” The last time the AL East rivals met in the playoffs was for the 2008 ALCS, and the Rays won in seven games. The two teams split the four games at Tropicana Field, but the Rays won two of three games at Fenway Park, outscoring the Red Sox 29-13. If history indicates anything, the odds are good that all five games will be played.

Rays and Red Sox ALDS starters (the Rays third and fourth starters are still TBA)
Rays and Red Sox ALDS starters (the Rays third and fourth starters are still TBA).
Rays and Red Sox combined pitching numbers.
Rays and Red Sox combined pitching numbers.
Rays and Red Sox offensive production at home, away, and over the last seven days.
Rays and Red Sox offensive production at home, away, and over the last seven days.
Rays and Red Sox by the numbers.
Rays and Red Sox by the numbers.

Jon Lester: The Red Sox went 3-1 against the Rays this season with Lester on the mound. Key match-ups: Yunel Escobar (9-33, 2B, 2 RBI, 5 BB), Desmond Jennings (9-25, 2 2B, 3B, HR, 2 RBI, BB), Matt Joyce (4-11, 2 HR, 6 RBI, BB), James Loney (2-8, 2 RBI, BB), Jose molina (9-26, 2B, RBI, 3 BB), Wil Myers (2-3, 2B, HR, RBI).

John Lackey: Lackey has averaged five innings in two starts against the Rays this season, relinquishing nine earned runs overall. Key match-ups: David DeJesus (6-24, 2 RBI), Yunel Escobar (8-15, 2 2B, RBI, 3 BB), Matt Joyce (6-18, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 2 BB), Jose Lobaton (1-3), James Loney (4-16, 2B, HR, 3 RBI), Evan Longoria (10-31, 3 2B, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 3 BB), Sean Rodriguez (2-5), Luke Scott (7-21, 4 2B, 2 HR, 4 RBI, BB), Delmon Young (6-17, 2B, RBI, BB), Ben Zobrist (11-27, 3 2B, 4 RBI, 5 BB).

Clay Buchholz: The Red Sox RHP has been very good against the Rays this season, shutting out Tampa Bay in 13 innings of work, while allowing only 10 base runners (5 H, 5 BB). Key match-ups: David DeJesus (4-11, 2B, 3 BB), Sam Fuld (1-4, 2B, RBI, BB), Matt Joyce (6-22, 2B, 2 RBI, 4 BB), Jose Molina (7-22, 2B, 4 RBI, BB), Sean Rodriguez (3-10, 2B, RBI).

Jake Peavy: Tampa Bay was able to take down Peavy in his last start against the Rays, tagging him for three runs on four hits and five walks, including a homer. Key match-ups: James Loney (10-31, 5 2B, 2 HR, 5 RBI, BB), Wil Myers (1-2, RBI, BB), Sean Rodriguez (2-4), Luke Scott (4-12, 2 2B, HR, RBI), Ben Zobrist (4-13, 2 2B, HR, 2 RBI, BB).

Noteworthiness

  • Rotation update: Hellickson will start Game four unless he’s needed in relief in one of first three games.
  • There’s understandable frustration buying tickets for the weekday games without knowing the times. MLB decides on the time, with input from TV, based on the numbers of games. Could be at 4:00 Monday.
  • “Since #Rays are in Boston, naturally there is, per @weatherchannel, rain possible, 40 pct. chance starting around game time.” — Marc Topkin (via Twitter)
  • “Good omen?? Rays instructional league beat Boston’s instructional league team 17-0…low market team…we RAYS our players.” — David Price (via Twitter)

Rays ALDS Roster

11 Pitchers, 2 Catchers, 4 Infielders, 7 Outfielders, 1 DH

Pitchers
Moore
Price
Cobb
Hellickson
Archer
Rodney
Peralta
McGee
Torres
J. Wright
W. Wright

Infielders
Loney
Zobrist
Esocobar
Longoria
Johnson
Rodriguez

Outfielders
DeJesus
Jennings
Fuld
Joyce
Young
Myers

Catchers
Molina
Lobaton

DH
Young

Looking Backward While Moving Forward: The Rays Are Division Series Bound!

Evan Longoria celebrates with his teammates after defeating the Cleveland Indians in the American League Wild Card. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)
Evan Longoria celebrates with his teammates after defeating the Cleveland Indians in the American League Wild Card. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

It’s crazy when you consider that though the Rays are in the postseason for the fourth time in six years, they hadn’t made it past the first round of the playoffs since 2008… That is, until last night. Alex Cobb, Joel Peralta, Jake McGee and Fernando Rodney did what they are wont to do, shutting down the Indians in their first postseason appearance since 2007. On the other end of things, the offense did just enough, tagging Salazar and Co for four runs in last night’s 4-0 victory. How sweet it is! I live blogged the game, and you can read all of my annoying witticisms at out Tumblr site. A few hungover thoughts and game peripherals are below.

  • It all starts with Cobb. It was obvious from the get go, Alex Cobb didn’t have his A+ stuff Wednesday night — the fastball was spotty and his change-up was all over the place. A+ stuff be damned, Cobb was still able to throw goose eggs on the scoreboard over the span of his 6-2/3 inning outing. The Rays dependable righty scattered nine hits over the course of his start, getting into three wRISP jams along the way. But, akin to a seasoned vet, he was able to make the all important big pitch to put down any Indians uprising — subsequently preserving the shutout.Cobb got into a major jam in the fifth inning with men on the corners and no outs. Cobber wrung up Michael Bourn, then coaxed a ground ball out of Nick Swisher to James Loney at first base. Loney stepped on the bag for the second out, then threw home to hold the runner at third. Though the play allowed Lonnie Chisenhall to advance to second, it prevented a run from scoring. My only criticism of the play, is that the Rays could have caught the runner at third in an inning ending run down. Alex worked two outs into the seventh, allowing the bullpen to rest up for the series in Boston. Not bad for his first postseason start.
  • Delmonster strikes again! Delmon Young got the scoring started in the third inning, blasting a letter high 95mph fastball to deep left field. As Erik Hahmann of DRaysBay noted, “Right handed batters slugged over .550 against Danny Salazar’s fastball this season. Delmon Young is a fastball hitter who isn’t afraid to swing. On this night, Delmon came out on top.” Then with two outs and two on in the fourth inning, Desmond Jennings ripped a two run double down the left field line, giving Tampa Bay a three run lead. Yunel Escobar drove in an insurance run in the ninth, giving the Rays a 4-0 lead they’d never relinquish. 

Tampa Bay has an off-day ahead of game one of the ALDS in Boston, Friday — the fourth game in the fourth different city inside of a week for the Rays. On the bright side, at least they won’t be eliminated right away if they lose the first game this time — a welcome feeling for sure. We’ll have an ALDS preview either later today, or early tomorrow.

The New What Next: Rays and Indians, A Preview of Sorts

Evan Longoria and Ben Zobrist celebrate their 5-2 win over the Texas Rangers in the American League Wild Card tiebreaker game. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Evan Longoria and Ben Zobrist celebrate their 5-2 win over the Texas Rangers in the American League Wild Card tiebreaker game. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Here we go. The Rays find themselves in the postseason for the fourth time in six years, as they ready themselves to take on the Cleveland Indians, Wednesday night. The winner will earn the privilege to head to Boston for the ALDS. The loser? Well, they’ll pack it up for the season.

Both teams are coming into the Wildcard game on a surge of momentum. The Indians are coming off an outstanding 16-4 stretch — though it should be noted that they faced a good number of subpar teams in that stretch. On the other hand, Tampa Bay really improved on their poor showing in August, taking 14 of their last 20 games while playing 21 consecutive games — 13 coming against contenders. From the perspective of intensity in the schedule, the Indians have been participated in a cakewalk, while the Rays were thrown to the wolves.

Their 92 regular-season victories mark the fourth consecutive year the Rays have won at least 90 games. Tampa Bay won the season series over Cleveland, 4-2, winning two games in each three-game set. The Indians have enjoyed one of the majors’ most significant turnarounds after going 68-94 last season. Their 92 regular-season victories are the most since they won 96 and advanced to the American League Championship Series in 2007, their last postseason appearance.

As it relates to production, the Rays’ greatest power threat comes from (surprise, surprise) Evan Longoria. Longo led the team in home runs (32) and RBI (88), though James Loney (75 RBI) and Ben Zobrist (71 RBI) are a threat at the plate as well. Wil Myers’ contributions since his June call-up shouldn’t be overlooked. Myers batted .293 with 13 home runs and 53 RBI in 88 games. Tampa Bay finished fourth in the majors in OBP (.329), though they finished ninth in the AL in runs scored with 700 (Boston led the league with 853).

The Indians, on the other hand, finished tied for fifth in the majors in runs scored with 745. Jason Kipnis leads Cleveland in RBI with 84, while Carlos Santana (74 RBI) and Michael Brantley (73 RBI) also have aided an offense that finished seventh in the majors with a .327 on-base percentage. Cleveland doesn’t have great power numbers, and Nick Swisher (22 homers) and Santana (20) are the biggest threats to go deep.

Oddly enough, the Rays road numbers pair well with the Indians home numbers. On that end, this should be an interesting game.

Alex Cobb will get the start against rookie right-hander Danny Salazar. Suffice it to say, at 11-3 with a 2.76 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season, Cobb has become one of the more dangerous pitchers in the American League. He’s won his past three starts while posting a 2.57 ERA in the month of September. Cobb allowed no runs and four hits in 7-1/3 innings in a victory against the Indians, in April. Danny Salazar is 2-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. The Indians’ top prospect made his major league debut on July 11 in a victory over Toronto. He was 0-2 with a 4.29 ERA in four August starts and 1-1 with a 2.52 ERA in five September appearances. He has yet to face Tampa Bay in his career. 

Rays and Indians Wildcard game starters.
Rays and Indians Wildcard game starters.
Rays and Indians offensive production at home, away, and over the last 14 days.
Rays and Indians offensive production at home, away, and over the last 14 days.
Rays and Indians, by the numbers.
Rays and Indians, by the numbers.

Danny Salazar: Per Alex Eisenberg, “An undersized, but athletic pitcher, Salazar’s fastball isn’t special because of its velocity. Its special because of the movement he generates at such a high velocity. The pitch has excellent running action and explosive late life. He’s generally around the strike zone with his fastball, though his command will need to improve. However, the combination of velocity and movement gives him more room for error. Salazar has trouble keeping his fastball down in the zone in part because he lacks the leverage to do so due to his height. This is why he’s been a predominantly fly ball pitcher over his career. In the start I saw him, he focused heavily on his breaking ball. It’s an inconsistent pitch with the size of the break varying, but he throws it at a high velocity. The pitch will range from anywhere fringy to average in quality, while flashing above average potential. The change-up is the better of the two secondary pitches, ranging between above average and plus. He maintains his arm speed well, and the pitch has considerable fading action as it approaches home plate. At its best, the pitch just drops off the table. While Salazar’s command can stand to improve, he’s never had much of a problem with his control. He’s generally around the strike zone.”

Noteworthiness

  • Ben Zobrist (.992) and Yunel Escobar (.988) have the best fielding percentages at their positions in AL.
  • Price became the fifth pitcher to to record a complete game win in a one-game tiebreaker.
  • The Rays hitters led the majors drawing 589 walks.
  • We’re hosting an informal watch party tonight at Old Northeast Tavern. The Tavern is located on the corner of Seventh Avenue and Second Street north, in St. Petersburg. Spread the word!

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Rays Wildcard Roster

The Rays set their 25-man roster for tonight’s one-game Wildcard playoff, heavy, as expected, with position players. Marc Topkin went on to note that, “This roster is only for tonight – they can, and will, change it if they advance to the Division Series, which starts on Friday in Boston”

Starting pitcher
Alex Cobb – R

Relievers
Chris Archer – R
Jake McGee – L
Matt Moore – L
Joel Peralta – R
Fernando Rodney – R
Alex Torres – L
J. Wright – R
W. Wright – L

Catchers
Chris Gimenez
Jose Lobaton
Jose Molina

Infielders
Yunel Escobar
James Loney
Evan Longoria
Ben Zobrist

Outfielders
David DeJesus
Sam Fuld
Desmond Jennings
Kelly Johnson
Matt Joyce
Kevin Kiermaier
Wil Myers
Sean Rodriguez

DH
Delmon Young