The New What Next: Rays vs. Halos — A Series Preview of Sorts

Grant Balfour celebrates with his teammates after defeating the Seattle Mariners by a score of 2-0. (Photo courtesy of Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
Grant Balfour celebrates with his teammates after defeating the Seattle Mariners by a score of 2-0. (Photo courtesy of Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

I wouldn’t say the Rays are out of the weeds just yet — after all, they’re still down a couple of pitchers and Ben Zobrist is out for the time being, while he mends from a bone dislocation in his left thumb. Yet, I can’t help but feel a sense of cautious optimism. Generally speaking, the pitching staff seems it may have turned a corner, and over the last week or so the team has started to play like the vintage Rays — their wins Saturday, Tuesday, and Wednesday speak to that. Tampa Bay still hasn’t shown it can win more than a few games here and there, so the next step for the Rays is to string together wins with consistency. They’ll attempt the to do just that in Anaheim, where they’ll face the Los Angeles Angels (or as Neil deGrasse Tyson called them, The The Angels Angels) in a four-game weekend series.

Really, is there any better time than now to show what they’re made of? Beyond everything, the Rays have performed well in Anaheim since the 2008 season, going 15-10 at Angel Stadium while posting a 29-20 record overall. Tampa Bay will throw Erik Bedard, Chris Archer, Cesar Ramos, and David Price on the mound. In turn, they’ll face the tandem of Tyler Skaggs, Jered Weaver, CJ Wilson, and Ray Mysterioso — you know, since they’ve yet to name the starter for Sunday’s contest.

Erik Bedard will get the start in the series opener opposite of Tyler Skaggs. Bedard looks to continue his streak of good starts on the heels of three consecutive outings where he’s given up one run or fewer, for the first time since 2008. He’s had good stuff in hs last few starts against the Angels, holding them to one run over seven innings of a 2-1 win at Anaheim on June 3, 2013 while pitching for the Astros, improving to 3-1 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four matchups. Skaggs is coming off an impressive outing in Toronto where he gave up three runs on four hits while pitching into the ninth. However, Skaggs is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts at home, including a 2-2/3 inning outing at home in a 14-3 loss to Texas. Friday night’s game should be interesting. Chris Archer is currently on a three-game streak where he hasn’t lasted more than five innings, while giving up three or more earned runs in each of those starts. Then again, Jered Weaver has been handled many a few times by the Rays over the years, so draw your own conclusion on that one. Cesar Ramos will look to bounce back from his less than stellar last outing, butting heads with the XStraight-EdgeXRacerX, CJ Wilson, Saturday. Finally, the Rays ace will round out a weekend of baseball against He Who Shall Not Be Named.

The Angels are coming off a 5-1 road trip, a feather in their cap. BUT they’re 8-10 at home, having been outscored 100-87 in the confines of Angel Stadium. What’s more, they’re 2-4 at home over the last six games, including the aforementioned 14-3 shellacking.

Rays and Angels series starters.
Rays and Angels series starters.
Rays and Angels offensive production at home, away, and overall.
Rays and Angels offensive production at home, away, and overall.
Rays and Angels, by the numbers.
Rays and Angels, by the numbers.

Tyler Skaggs: Tampa Bay has never faced the 22 year-old LHP Tyler Skaggs. He is described as having a quality fastball that plays up because of movement and strike-throwing ability. Skaggs likes to challenge hitters with his fastball, and will work inside to left handed hitters. He does have some command issues, and needs to consistently establish his fastball early in his starts. His curve ball is a plus pitch of the whiff variety, and the FB/CB tandem gives him two plus pitches and an exceptional base to work from. Skaggs’ changeup has some promise and should be considered a quality third pitch.

Jered Weaver: Jered Weaver has been anything but dominant since 2011. His velocity has been on a steady decline, and because of it his K/9 and first pitch K% have fallen (from 64.7% to 61.1% to 59.9%), all while the number of hard hits he’s given up has increased. Granted some of the regression can be attributed to a 2013 injury (a broken elbow), but that injury does nothing to explain his 2012 regression. His falling status is our gain — the Rays have tagged Weaver with 16 earned runs and a 5.92 ERA in his last four starts. Key matchups: David DeJesus (2 2B, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 4 BB), Yunel Escobar (4-8, 2 2B, RBI, 2 BB), James Loney (9-29, 2 2B, 3 RBI), Evan Longoria (5-13, 3 2B, BB), Jose Molina (4-13, 2B, HR, 3 RBI), Wil Myers (2-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI), Sean Rodriguez (2-4, HR, 2 RBI, BB).

CJ Wilson: Picking up where he left off last season, CJ Wilson’s HR/FB has increased over that of 2013 — but then again, so has his K/9. Wilson has normalized somewhat following an inflated season the year prior, which isn’t necessarily good news since he’s been tough on the Rays — extending back to his time with the Rangers. Still, more than a few Rays have good numbers against Wilson, and they’ll be looked upon to carry the team against the Angels’ LHP. Key matchups: Yunel Escobar (4-8, 2B, 3 BB), Ryan Hanigan (1-2, BB), James Loney (2-7), Sean Rodriguez (6-18, HR, 2 RBI, 3 BB).

Noteworthiness

  • As I wrote Wednesday, Ben Zobrist will be sidelined and could be headed to the disabled list due to a dislocated left thumb incurred while sliding headfirst into second base Wednesday Joe Maddon said the club will decide Zobrist’s fate on Thursday, but X-rays ruled out a fracture. Cole Figueroa is on the way to Anaheim in case he is needed.
  • Evan Longoria is batting .377 with six homers and 17 RBI in 21 career games at Angel Stadium.
  • Angels OF Mike Trout has 42 hits and 21 of them have gone for extra bases.
  • 1B Albert Pujols had two hits Wednesday after going 1-for-25 over his previous six games.

Ben Zobrist Dislocates Left Thumb

Ben Zobrist writhes in pain after dislocating his thumb while sliding headfirst into second.
Ben Zobrist writhes in pain, after dislocating his thumb while sliding headfirst into second.

Ben Zobrist was pulled from the game Wednesday afternoon after an errant steal attempt in the fifth inning. With one out and David DeJesus in the box, Ben Zobrist attempted to swipe second base. DeJesus struck out and Ben was tagged out for an inning-ending double play. Zobrist grabbed his thumb in pain as he slid.

(GIF courtesy of DRaysBay)
(GIF courtesy of DRaysBay)

The prognosis on Zobrist: a dislocated left thumb. His thumb was put back into place following his removal from the game. Zobrist will miss some time and stay with the team for the remainder of the road trip. He’ll also be evaluated when they return home next week. In the meantime, the Rays will see how Zobrist feels in the morning, and determine if he’ll be placed on the DL. Zobrist also noted that he is fortunate it was dislocated in the top knuckle where it can heal more quickly than the bottom knuckle.

Marc Topkin tweeted,

Topkin went on, “Maddon mentioned (the) possibility of Zobrist pinch hitting, but Zo talked more about being sure it healed properly.” The Rays will have Sean Rodriguez and Logan Forsythe play second base in Zobrist’s absence.

Looking Backward While Moving Forward: Rays Come From Behind to Beat Mariners, 2-1

Why don't you try to find a few "Late Night with the Rays" photos. I'll stick with a classic picture of DeWayne Staats and Steve Stone.
Why don’t you try to find a few “Late Night with the Rays” photos. I’ll stick with a classic picture of DeWayne Staats and Steve Stone.

Just under three hours after Masahiro Iwakuma’s first pitch, the Tampa Bay Rays evened up the series at one game apiece, thanks to a 2-1 come from behind victory against the Mariners. The contest had all the trappings of a pitching duel; a pair of pitchers at the top of their game, an incredibly tight one run lead, and a late inning rally against Fernando Rodney. David Price put together a one-run, complete game gem — striking out 12 (all on his fastball) along the way. His final line: 9 IP/6 H/1 ER/0 BB/12 K/108 pitches (81 strikes, 75% K%). Iwakuma was great, but Price was better. Suffice it to say, Late Night with the Rays ended with adulation and exhaustion on the part of those of us who stayed up to watch. That being said, below is a recap of the ninth…because, you know, I’m tired and at work.

The Ninth Inning

…Though David Price tossed a gem over the previous eight innings, all would have been for not if the Rays couldn’t mount a comeback against Fernando Rodney and the Mariners — a hefty task, considering the scoring opportunities were few and far in between all night.

Mount a rally — and a comeback — they would, and it all started with a two-strike solo shot to right-field by David DeJesus, on a mistake change-up left out and over the plate. James Loney was next, smacking a single to put the go ahead run on base. Loney was pinched for Sean Rodriguez, a move that paid dividends in the end. Desmond Jennings was next to join in on the BABIP fun. Jennings moved SeanRod to second on a hard hit single just beneath the glove of shortstop Brad Miller. With two on and no outs, Matt Joyce (who accrued two hits off Iwakuma in his previous at-bats) became the co-offensive hero of the night when he plated the go-ahead run on an RBI gapper, easily scoring the speedy Rodriguez from second. With the pressure mounting on the Rays’ former closer, Rodney loaded the bases on a four-pitch walk of Yunel Escobar, and his night was done. Rodney exited the field to a chorus of jeers and boos. And he wonders why Tampa Bay didn’t extend an offer following the 2013 season. The Rays took the 2-1 lead they wouldn’t relinquish, after bringing eight men to the plate in the ninth.

Price was masterful all night, and though he had a significant number of pitches under his belt, Joe Maddon put him back on the mound to close out the game — the inning (and game) was his, and his alone. Robinson Cano led off and worked the second full count of the game against Price. Call it luck or kismet, but Price caught Cano looking at an outside fastball for the first out of the inning.

Pitch number six: Good for DP, bad for Cano. (Courtesy of Brooks Baseball)
Pitch number six: Good for DP, bad for Cano. (Courtesy of Brooks Baseball)

Corey Hart was next and he smacked a liner to Matt Joyce in left field, giving the Mariners one last chance to tie the game. Justin Smoak quickly fell behind by an 0-2 count after Price got ahead on a foul ball and a strike (looking) over the plate. Smoak took the next pitch, only to end the game on a 1-2 swinging strikeout. Rays win! Game over! Time for sleep!

The New What Next

Jake Odorizzi will try to close out the series on a high note this afternoon, when the Rays take on Brandon Maurer and the Mariners. Odorizzi was much improved in his last start, striking out 11 Indians over five shutout innings.

“That was the highlight — the big overall picture was how we mixed and stuck to what we wanted to do the whole time,” Odorizzi said. “Now it’s time to eliminate some three-ball counts when possible and not make extra pitches when I don’t need to. That’s the biggest part in making the next step, is cutting out the pitches that don’t take you too far.”

You can read about today’s matchup in our series preview.

Rays 5/14/14 Starting Lineup

Joyce LF
Zobrist 2B
DeJesus DH
Longoria 3B
Loney 1B
Myers RF
Jennings CF
Escobar SS
Hanigan C
Odorizzi RHP

Noteworthiness

  • I could watch the ninth inning rally against Fernando Rodney over, and over…and over:

  • Joe Maddon purchased a lot of horrible (read: classic) cologne prior to yesterday’s game, and encouraged the Rays to wear it in the dugout. On a related side note, Walgreen’s saw their greatest surge in Drakkar Noir sales in some time. I digress. David Price, wearing Aqua Velva, said he and Chris Archer watched some 2012 (his Cy Young Award winning season) highlights before the game, and he was determined to pitch that way Tuesday. Mission accomplished.
  • I wrote this yesterday, but it bears mentioning once more: I’ll be writing a piece titled “The Case For Wilson Betemit,” tonight. My question to you, dear friends, is this: Who would you rather see on the bench for the Rays, and why? Your choices are: Betemit, Sean Rodriguez, Logan Forsythe, and Brandon Guyer.
  • Do you like fun, beer, baseball, beer, hotdogs, and…well beer? Then mosey on down to Green Bench Brewing Company May 30th, for our Rays watch party!
  • Alex Cobb felt good after having thrown his second simulated game Monday. He is set for what could be the final test, ahead of his return from a strained oblique, with a rehab start Saturday. “He came out of it well,” Maddon said. Cobb is likely to pitch for the Class-A Stone Crabs in Port Charlotte, with his tentative return — assuming all goes well — set for May 22 vs. Oakland.
  • We reported yesterday, that Enny Romero was set to arrive in Seattle prior to Tuesday night’s contest. It turns out that LHP Erik Bedard had a sore pec, while there were undisclosed issues with other pitchers on the staff, eliciting the response from the Rays to add pitching depth just in case. Bedard went out for a brief throwing session with head athletic trainer Ron Porterfield, who said he was good to go for Thursday’s scheduled. The Rays reached him in Detroit to tell him he wasn’t needed after all, and headed back to Durham instead.

Looking Backward While Moving Forward: Ramos, Rays Beaten Up By Mariners, 12-5

Cesar Ramos takes a breather after throwing a pitch against the Mariners.Ramos gave up five runs in the second inning. (AP Photo)
Cesar Ramos takes a breather after throwing a pitch against the Mariners.Ramos gave up five runs in the second inning. (AP Photo)

The photo above…


Source: FanGraphs

…along with the leverage index graph…

Screen Shot 2014-05-13 at 6.31.29 AM

…and the scoring summary tells the story of the Mariners’ 12-5 handling of the Rays.

There isn’t much I can say on the subject of Monday night’s loss. To his credit, Cesar Ramos saved the pen by eating 6-2/3 innings, and retired the final 12 batters he faced in order — the only positives I can cull up. If you’re a sadist and want to relive the Devil Rays‘ loss, mosey on over to DRaysBay, where you can read all of the gory details.

The New What Next

It won’t be any easier Tuesday night, when David Price and Hisashi Iwakuma toe the rubber opposite of one another. Price needs to pitch like the ace he is, while the offense needs to do what they’ve done in the past against Iwakuma, if they hope to turn things around. You can read about the matchup in our series preview, and I’ll post the starting lineup when it becomes available.

Rays 5/13/14 Starting Lineup

Myers RF
DeJesus DH
Longoria 3B
Zobrist 2B
Loney 1B
Jennings CF
Joyce LF
Escobar SS
Molina C
Price LHP

Noteworthiness

  • Here is Cesar Ramos talking about his rough outing in last night’s 12-5 loss to the Mariners

[youtube_sc url=”http://youtu.be/hI9Xo62XBAo”]

  • Wil Myers snapped the Rays 13-2/3 inning hitless streak against King Felix with a second inning infield single to second base. The streak extended back to April 30, 2012, with the last Ray to get a hit being Carlos Peña.
  • Look at the bright side, Alex Cobb is on track to a May 22nd return. Cobb tossed a four inning simulated game Monday, giving up only two hits while striking out eight on 60 pitches. He averaged 90-91 MPH with his fastball. Cobb will make a six-inning rehab start Saturday with either the Stone Crabs or the Durham Bulls.
  • Per Marc Topkin, LHP Enny Romero is on his way to Seattle. With David Price getting the start tonight, it could be assumed the Rays may have a concern about Jake Odorizzi, who is scheduled to start Wednesday.
  • I’ll be writing a piece titled “The Case For Wilson Betemit,” tonight. My question to you, dear friends, is this: Who would you rather see on the bench for the Rays, and why? Your choices are: Betemit, Sean Rodriguez, Logan Forsythe, and Brandon Guyer.
  • At 16-23, the Rays will reach the quarter pole of the season (40 games) tonight, assured of their worst record since 2006 (16-24). What’s more, per Roger Mooney, since divisional realignment, the Yankees are the only AL East team to reach the playoffs with a losing record through 40 games (in ’95 and ’07). 21 teams have reached the postseason after posting a losing record through 40 games. Four have reached the World Series, including the ’03 Marlins.

Rays 5/12/14 Starting Lineup, Alex Cobb Rehab, Etc

20140512-174758.jpg

Rays 5/12/14 Starting Lineup

DeJesus DH
Zobrist 2B
Joyce LF
Longoria 3B
Loney 1B
Myers RF
Jennings CF
Escobar SS
Hanigan C
Ramos LHP

Noteworthiness

  • A good sign in the recovery of Alex Cobb: per a report from Port Charlotte, Cobb tossed a four inning simulated game Monday, giving up only two hits while striking out eight on 60 pitches. He averaged 90-91 MPH with his fastball. Cobb will make a six-inning rehab start Saturday with either the Stone Crabs or the Durham Bulls.
  • Don’t forget: tonight’s game starts at 10:10, and will not be televised on Fox Sports Florida.
  • You can read about the Ramos/Hernandez matchup, and so much more, in our Rays vs. Mariners series preview.
  • Tonight is first time the Rays are facing King Felix since his August 2012 perfect game against them.
  • Heath Bell has cleared waivers and has bee officially released by the Rays. The team owes him $5.5MM of the $9MM salary they were paying him.
  • Your tweet of the day comes courtesy of Marc Topkin, “Just talked to Rodney in #Mariners clubhouse. Said wanted to return, #Rays never made offer. Would’ve taken $14-15M over 2.” Rodney had two-year offers from the Mets, Orioles, and Indians, and one year offers from the Yankees. He got $14MM over two years from the Mariners.