The New What Next: Rays vs Angels, part two — a series preview

Nick Franklin went from first to home on a Curt Casali double for the Rays only run Sunday afternoon. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)
Nick Franklin went from first to home on a Curt Casali double for the Rays only run Sunday afternoon. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)
Coming off yet another disappointing series sweep — this time at the hands of the Detroit Tigers — the Tampa Bay Rays welcome in the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim for a four-game series, starting Monday.

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The Rays have lost 16 of their last 18 games, yet the Angels have only fared marginally better, having lost 11 of their last 13. One thing is certain, of these teams will come away with some much needed wins.

Back in May, Tampa Bay swept the Angels over three-games, and it would behoove the team to do the same, if not better, this time around. To be fair, Los Angeles did receive a consolation prize in that series — the selfie-stick record.

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Kevin Cash will throw Matt Moore (4-5, 4.67 ERA), Jake Odorizzi (3-3, 3.91 ERA), Drew Smyly (2-9, 5.33 ERA), and Blake Snell (1-3, 3.86 ERA) over the course of the next four days. Mike Sciascia will counter with Nick Tropeano (3-2, 3.25 ERA), Tim Lincecum (1-2, 6.75 ERA), Jered Weaver (6-7, 5.51 ERA), and Hector Santiago (5-4, 4.93 ERA).

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Rays series starters

Moore tossed seven scoreless innings on Wednesday, allowing just three hits and two walks while striking out six. The lefty held Boston hitless through five innings and escaped a key bases-loaded jam in the sixth while out-dueling David Price. Moore found himself in a similar situation five days prior to this one (vs. Baltimore) when the bottom fell out in the sixth. MattyMoe has now tossed seven scoreless frames in two of his last four starts, while lowering his ERA to 4.67; its lowest point since April.

Odorizzi gave up two earned runs on three hits and three walks, while fanning seven over five innings in a no decision on Thursday. The righty was given a five-run lead through five innings before he allowed pair of runs in the sixth inning, knocking him out of the contest. Unfortunately, the ‘pen blew his three-run lead, keeping him from a potential win. Odorizzi hasn’t posted a quality start in four of his last five starts, while his ERA sits at 3.91 on the season.

Smyly allowed six runs (four earned) on six hits and four walks, while striking out eight in a loss on Friday against the Tigers. The lefty held the Tigers in check over the front three innings, yet he failed to handle them the second time through the batting order. He’s collected just one quality start over his last seven turns, and now holds a 5.33 ERA on the season.

Snell relinquished three earned runs on four hits and four walks over 5-1/3 innings in a loss to the Tiger on Saturday. He struck out four. There were several positives to derive from Snell’s start, as the southpaw did throw 18-of-24 first-pitch strikes, and coaxed 10 whiffs. While he got ahead in the count, however, Snell still handed out too many free passes and dished up his first career MLB homer. As I mentioned a week ago, his biggest struggle to date has been with control, and he’ll look to lower his 1.71 WHIP and notch a tally in the win column in the series finale Thursday.

Angels series starters

Tropeano has been recalled from Triple-A Salt Lake to start against Tampa Bay. Tropeano was optioned to the minors after being activated from the disabled list last week following his return from a shoulder injury. The righty performed well in his lone start with Salt Lake, allowing just two earned runs on three hits and a walk over 6-2/3 innings, striking out seven. With no lingering concerns about his health, the Angels will have Tropeano assume the rotation spot of Jhoulys Chacin, who has been sent to the bullpen. He mowed down the Rays on May 8th, collecting 10 strikeouts through 5-1/3 innings. Key matchups: Oswaldo Arcia (1-1, BB), Curt Casalit (2-2, 2B, HR, RBI), Evan Longoria (2-3), Brad Miller (2-7, HR, 2 RBI), Logan Morrison (1-4, BB)

Lincecum has yet to prove his worth in his comeback from surgery. The Freak lasted only 3 innings and 4-1/3 inning (respectively) in his two starts, and allowed nine runs on 15 hits in those games — giving him a bloated 11.05 ERA (6.75 FIP) over the last 14 days. Lincecum last faced Tampa Bay in 2013, taking a loss after allowing just one earned run on six hits and a walk over seven innings of work. Key matchups: Desmond Jennings (1-3), Brad Miller (2-3, HR, 2 RBI), Logan Morrison (2-8, 3B, HR, 2 RBI, 4 BB)

Weaver was brutalized by Houston on Wednesday, allowing six runs on seven hits in just 5-1/3 innings. The soft tosser walked four while striking out three in the contest. Weaver hasn’t been able to fool hitters in 2016, and his HR/9 rate stands at a bloated 1.9. He has allowed at least four runs in four of six June starts. Weaver surrendered two runs (one earned) on six hits over six innings on May 7 in his last start against Tampa Bay. Key matchups: Oswaldo Arcia (2-8, 2 RBI), Hank Conger (1-4), Logan Forsythe (4-13, 2B), Nick Franklin (3-11, RBI, BB), Evan Longoria (6-23, 3 2B, HR, RBI, 3 BB), Steven Souza Jr. (2-7, 2B, HR, 2 RBI)

Santiago allowed one unearned run against the Red Sox on Saturday, striking out and walking four en route to win number five of the season. Santiago had a huge amount of run support in that game, as Los Angeles tagged Clay Buchholz and Boston’s bullpen for 21 runs. Though capable of stringing together nice outings — he’s logged three quality starts in his last four outings  — Santiago has been all too susceptible to the blowup this season. Key matchups: Hank Conger (1-3, HR, RBI), Brandon Guyer (1-2), Desmond Jennings (1-2, HR, RBI), Evan Longoria (4-6, 2B), Brad Miller (3-9, 2B, RBI, BB)

Noteworthiness

— The Rays have placed Desmond Jennings on the 15-day DL with a left hamstring strain. In doing so, they have recalled RHP Tyler Sturdevant from Triple-A Durham for the time being.

— The team announced that RHP Alex Cobb (Tommy John surgery) will make his first rehab start on Wednesday for the Charlotte Stone Crabs.

The New What Next: Rays to close series with Tigers, pre-game injury notes

Brad Miller scores on Logan Morrison's sac-fly Saturday afternoon. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)
Brad Miller scores on Logan Morrison’s sac-fly Saturday afternoon. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)

The Tampa Bay Rays will try to salvage the last game of a four-game set against the Detroit Tigers, on Sunday. The Rays dropped the first three contests after falling 3-2 to Justin Verlander and the Tigers yesterday. 

After pulling within a game of .500 in June, the Rays have dropped 15-of 17-games, and have been outscored 110-59 (a -51 run differential) during that stretch. Prior to that, Tampa Bay had a positive run differential of plus-four runs for the season.

The New What Next

Chris Archer (4-11, 4.76 ERA) will get the start for the Rays, opposite of Mike Pelfrey (2-7, 5.02 ERA).

Archer will face Detroit for the second time this season. The righty gave up six runs over three innings in his first appearance against the Tigers. In his last start (against Boston) Archer allowed four runs in 6-1/3 innings of work. The ace has completed seven innings or more only twice this season.

Though he was hammered for four runs on 12 hits over 5-1/3 innings, Pelfrey notched a win against Miami in his last turn. The righty wasn’t as bad as he’s been at other points in the season, however, he certainly wasn’t good either. Opponents are hitting .337 against Palfrey (including .417 over the last 14 days) and his 1.74 WHIP is the worst among qualifying starters.

You can read about the pitching matchup in our series preview.

For the Rays to end the first half of the season six-to-seven games under .500, they will need to win the next seven or eight games against the Tigers, Angels, and Red Sox. Impossible? No. Likely? I’ll let you draw your own conclusion.

Rays 7/3/16 Starting Lineup

Forsythe 2B
Miller SS
Longoria 3B
Morrison 1B
Guyer CF
Souza RF
Dickerson DH
Franklin LF
Casali C
Archer RHP

Noteworthiness

— RHPs Alex Cobb and Chase Whitley (Tommy John) are expected to throw bullpen sessions today. If all goes as planned, Cobb’s next hurdle to overcome could be the start of a rehab assignment.

— Brad Boxberger and Alex Colome (right medial bicep tendinitis) are also scheduled to throw a bullpen today. Colome is expected to be activated in the earlier part of the week.

— DH/1B Steve Pearce (hamstring) hit off a tee Friday, while CF Kevin Kiermaier (left hand fracture) is tentatively scheduled to do the same today.

The New What Next: Rays look to right the ship Saturday afternoon

The Tampa Bay Rays rewarded Taylor Motter for his 1/3 scoreless inning of work with a demotion to Triple-A Durham. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)
The Tampa Bay Rays rewarded Taylor Motter, for his 1/3 scoreless inning of work, with a demotion to Triple-A Durham. (Photo Credit: Tampa Bay Rays)

The Tampa Bay Rays look to turn things around against the Detroit Tigers this afternoon, when Blake Snell (1-2, 3.54 ERA) takes on a surprisingly mortal Justin Verlander (7-6, 4.30 ERA).

Coming off a disappointing (yet dare I say expected) loss Friday night, Tampa Bay has allowed 10 runs to Detroit in back-to-back games — the first time that’s happened since September 24th and 25th of 2014 (vs. Boston). The biggest issue has been the bullpen, as the relief staff has a 9.74 ERA over the past 16 games (44-1/3 IP, 48 ER) while allowing runs in 15 of those games.

Snell has one of the Rays’ two wins in the last 16 games, while Verlander seeks the Tigers fifth win in a row. The lefty told reporters that he wants to throw more strikes, and is working on improving his fastball command. In his last three starts, Snell has walked and struck out 10.

Verlander struggled in his last outing, yielding eight earned runs on nine hits in 4-2/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland. That ended a string of four consecutive wins for him that had dropped his ERA from 4.11 to 3.78.

In his career against Tampa Bay, Verlander is 7-3 with a 3.49 ERA — he dominated the Rays in his only start against the team last season, giving up just one earned run in eight innings while fanning 10. He’s pitched well at the Trop over his career, going 4-2 with a 2.70 in seven starts in this ballpark. You can read about this afternoon’s pitching matchup in our series preview.

Rays 7/2/16 Starting Lineup

Forsythe 2B
Miller SS
Longoria 3B
Morrison 1B
Guyer CF
Souza RF
Dickerson DH
Arcia LF
Casali C
Snell LHP

Noteworthiness

— The Rays announced a roster move following Friday’s contest since Steven Souza Jr. (strained left hip) was activated from the 15-day disabled list. He is in the lineup this afternoon, hitting sixth.

Despite his versatility both in the infield and outfield, UTL Taylor Motter was optioned to Triple-A Durham to make room for Souza. …Not Tim Beckham, who is less toolsy, but Motter. Go figure.

— Of note, Detroit’s lineup does not feature Miguel Cabrera, who gets the day off. Too bad Maybin can’t also have the day off.

 

Looking Backward While Moving Forward: ninth inning dumpster fire leads to 10-7 loss by Rays

Erasmo Ramirez isn't so smiley after he, in tandem with Ryan Garton, allowed eight unanswered runs in the eighth inning of Thursday night's ball game. (Photo Credit: Will Vragovic)
Erasmo Ramirez isn’t so smiley after he, in tandem with Ryan Garton, allowed eight unanswered runs in the eighth inning of Thursday night’s ball game. (Photo Credit: Will Vragovic)
Dumpster fire, train wreck, snafu, hot mess, disaster, FUBAR — adjectives and acronyms used to describe the monumental bullpen collapse in Thursday’s 10-7 loss by the Tampa Bay Rays.

I won’t dig into the guts of last night’s mess; you likely can guess why. Instead, here are some gory details from the meltdown and/or schadenfreude (depending on your point of view).

Per Marc Topkin (Tampa Bay Times)

  • It matched the largest blown ninth inning lead in a defeat in franchise history; on June 5, 2007 at Toronto they led 11-6 in the ninth and lost 12-11.
  • It was the largest ninth-inning lead they’d ever blown in a home game.
  • It was largest overall lead they’d blown since Aug. 9, 2013 at the Dodgers, when they led 6-0 and lost 7-6.
  • It was their largest overall blown lead at home since May 6, 2013 against the Blue Jays, when they led 7-0 and lost 8-7.
  • They lost for only the second time in 30 games this season when leading after eight innings.
  • The eight runs allowed were the second most in franchise history for a ninth inning; on June 2, 2006 against Toronto they allowed nine in a 13-4 loss.
  • It was the most runs they allowed in any inning since June 13, 2013, against the Royals, when they allowed eigth in the sixth.
  • The seven hits allowed were the most in any inning since Aug 23, 2015 at Oakland (eight in the seventh) and the most at home since June 13, 2013 against the Royals (eight in the sixth).

Blame Kevin Cash, after all he pulled Matt Andriese after three innings and just 27 pitches. Then again, Cash made a valid point in his postgame presser:

Given his (Andriese) recent workload and also when you separate the game to five runs — a five-run lead, we’re capable of having pitchers that need to go out there and get the job done for us.

In other words, blame Ryan Garton, who should have been able to finish the game. To his credit, Garton did attack the strike zone. However, he didn’t throw quality strikes and got hammered when he left pitches over the heart of the plate.

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Garton, who allowed four of the seven ninth inning hits, left the game with the bases loaded and no outs.

I went out there with same mind-set, pound the zone, try to get three outs, do my job, and it just didn’t happen today, Garton said after the game. Today was probably the best I’ve ever felt. Baseball being baseball, balls find holes, guys make good swings. Happens.

And to be fair, Ramirez deserves his share of the blame too, as he faced six batters and the only out he got was a fly ball that scored a run.

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Things like that happen when your command lapses, and you can’t execute your pitches.

Just awful work from me, Ramirez said. I didn’t do what I was supposed to do. I didn’t throw strikes when I was supposed to throw them. …At that moment I felt good, it was just that the ball wasn’t moving. Maybe I was too much excited about the bases loaded and tried to get out of trouble quick. When you don’t execute those pitches you are in hitter’s counts, and something bad is going to happen when you do that no matter how you feel.

Keys to a Ninth Inning Meltdown

  • Two walks were issued by the Rays in the ninth.
  • Three pitchers were used by the Rays used
  • Five consecutive singles were allowed before the Rays recorded the first out.
  • Of Detroit’s 11 hits, seven came in the ninth.
  • Tampa Bay allowed eight runs.
  • Of the 41 total pitches thrown, 24 went for strikes (58% K%)

The New What Next

There still is hope for the Rays to string together a pre-All Star Break run. However, to do so they’ll have to play at least .800 baseball over the next 10 games going into the break. Tampa Bay should have notched a tally in the win column last night, because tonight will not be easy. Drew Smyly (2-8, 5.32 ERA) will take the mound for the Rays, opposite of Michael Fulmer (7-2, 2.40 ERA).

Smyly is 0-4 with three no-decisions over his past seven starts — the longest losing streak of his career. Like Odorizzi before him, Smyly has not won at Tropicana Field this season. The southpaw is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts against his former team. Fulmer has allowed just one run or fewer in each of his past seven starts, including seven innings of four-hit, one-run ball when he struck out 11 against the Rays on May 21. In short, Longo and company are going to have to do yeoman’s work tonight. You can read about the pitching matchup in our series preview.

Rays 7/1/16 Starting Lineup

Forsythe 2B
Miller SS
Longoria 3B
Morrison 1B
Guyer CF
Dickerson DH
Franklin LF
Arcia RF
Conger C
LHP Smyly

Noteworthiness

— Desmond Jennings in the third inning of last night’s contest with tightness in his left hamstring. Jennings, who is listed as day-to-day, will be evaluated this afternoon. When asked if he thought it could be a long-term injury, Jennings told Topkin,

Nah, it just tightened up on me. It should be good.

— RHP Brad Boxberger (oblique) threw a 15 pitch bullpen session Thursday, his first since his injury.

— RHP Alex Colome (right medial biceps tendinitis) played catch at 90 feet.

— In preparation for Fulmer, Nick Franklin, Taylor Motter, Oswaldo Arcia and Curt Casali took batting practice off the curveball machine.

— According to the Elias Sports Bureau, the Rays are first team to lose at home when leading by five or more runs in the ninth inning since 1922 (Senators).

 

Rays 6/30/16 starting lineup, Reading with the Rays and Baseball Forever, etc

(Photo Credit: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Times)
(Photo Credit: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Times)

Rays 6/30/16 Starting Lineup

Forsythe 2B
Miller SS
Longoria 3B
Morrison 1B
Guyer RF
Dickerson LF
Jennings CF
Arica DH
Conger C
RHP Odorizzi

Noteworthiness

— Evan Longoria was at St. Petersburg Main Library earlier Thursday, for Reading with the Rays. We were there too, working the information table on behalf of Baseball Forever, the city’s initiative to keep the team in St. Petersburg (pictured below).

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Did you miss the chance to learn about the city’s campaign? Fret not, you’ll have a couple opportunities to talk to representatives from Baseball Forever next week, including at our next watch party on Friday, July 8 at Green Bench Brewing Company.

— RHPs Alex Cobb and Chase Whitley threw live batting practice to Steven Souza Jr. and Nick Franklin this afternoon. Of note, Souza hit a homer off Cobb and milked it for all it was worth:

— In Rays trade rumor news, with the acquisition of Bud Norris by the Los Angeles Dodgers, I’d imagine they might be out on RHP Erasmo Ramirez.

You can read about tonight’s pitching matchup, and so much more, in our series preview.