Since this piece is a working document of sorts, I’ve decided to change things up a bit from what it was starting back at the end of January. I’ve now broken this piece up by the sources that have created any of the projections below. I will continue to add more projections as they become available, or I see fit. With all of that said, I present to you some 2012 Rays Projections.

Baseball Think Factory 2012 Zips Projections

The folks over at the Baseball Think Factory have released their 2012 ZiPS Projections (computer-based projections of performance) for the Rays. They predict that Evan Longoria will be the overwhelming offensive producer, followed by Ben Zobrist and BJ Upton. Interestingly enough, they also predict that Bossman Jr. will have another 150+ strikeout season. You can check out the projected numbers above and more here: 2012 ZiPS Projections

Baseball Prospectus/PECOTA Projections

Unfortunately, without a subscription to the prospectus, I wasn’t privy to much information regarding this years PECOTA projections. Luckily the folks at DRaysBay created a couple of easy to read tables of those projections, which I’ve included below.

In the end, I feel like the PECOTA projections are a bit closer to the mark than some of the other projections and power rankings that I’ve seen. Note, I don’t think that Joyce or Pena will have a .25 and .22 BA this season. I’d imagine that the fine folks that made the chart may have left a digit or two off. I’ll keep adding to this piece as I cull up more projections. I’ve got to do something to bide my time between now and spring training.

Rays 2012 offensive projections courtesy of Baseball Prospectus and DRaysBay
Rays 2012 pitching projections courtesy of Baseball Prospectus and DRaysBay

MLB Fantasy 411 Composite Projections

Cory Schwartz of MLB 411 collected projections from the best systems and compiled them into one set of composite projections, which are below. As he explains it,

“Keep in mind that these are not predictions, and they are not “my” projections… they are averages of projections provided by multiple other systems. So if you think the numbers are too high or too low for any given player, that’s your prerogative, but don’t complain about it here! Adjust the numbers as you see fit, that’s up to you.”

Well, that’s good enough for me.

Rays Composite Hitting Projections (Courtesy of Cory Schwartz and Jason Collette)
Rays Composite Pitching Projections (Courtesy of Cory Schwartz and Jason Collette)

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